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I expect it will, not least because it is potentially so much more accessible to retail traders - it might even increase overall trading of the futures (like SP vs ES, although on a much smaller scale).
I have started trading the Ger30 CFD via Ninjatrader Brokerage, who use FXCM in London for European clients, giving access to the CFDs (not available to Americans, I think ?) : so far I am pleasantly surprised as it appears to have tighter spreads and more tradability than FDXM & definitely more tradable than FDAX as it's not so "jumpy".
Just one trade this morning (having missed a great set-up off the LO) :
I'm about to cook supper for the family, so I'm not grasping "volume ignored initial point risk" !?
You mean what is 1R ? If so, my initial live entry is 200 lots, which via Ninja FXCM is 10c / lot (unlike IB, where 1 lot = EUR 1). I divide into 4 x 50 lot units, each of EUR 5 / pip, so with a 12 pip initial stop on 8 pip range bar, assume 14 pip loss if hit, 1R = EUR 280. I have not yet had more than 2 pips spread/slippage, usually 1.
Let me know if I'm missing your point.
Btw, whilst being happy to average 1R each morning, my goal is to make at least 3R to achieve this. This morning, I had missed the "trade of the morning" and my time was up, so I took that walk (as I do pretty much every day).
Often when I ask this from traders they will tell me they will risk for example 30 points but this is not the 30 points in the price movement. It is a price movement points * contracts. So this is why I ask them to tell me the "volume ignored" version. For me it's a bit irrelevant to know the size of the trader. If the system impements scaling in/out then of course the ratios I am interested in. Also like to think everything in the R(isk) and it's multiples. System independed way to evaluate the quality of the system. So I understand your +1R daily goal very well
So is your Risk 8 ticks or 14 ticks (1 tick = 1 dax point) meaning your target is to achieve 8 points or 14 points per day (average) ?