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May 30th, 2024, 02:57 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
still punishing beta but overall indexes with vol
interesting bounce intraday on small caps
bonds hit a high, fx dollar whipping
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
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May 31st, 2024, 02:13 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
using mgk as a mag7 correlate
gamma is dropping but the dip is controlled
would need multiple days to really move averages
//
vgk or the euro component and the asia component nkd
less affected due to carries from aud moreso eur/jpy
energy component xle is helping some
//
tlt and tip trying to repair damage
not too hopeful due to breakout levels
compounded is iwm dia iyt and aapl tsla
//
indexes trying to find direction out of range
aapl and tsla corrected and waiting on other mag7 to follow
altogether w/ metals not fearing inflation looks to be dip enviro
June 3rd, 2024, 06:47 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
gamma measures disagreement in the form of hedges
in the case of low hedge or gamma things are more free
so the sentiment is optimistic but not really as convinced
//
call it suspended belief
June 4th, 2024, 11:29 AM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
since carry trades are drooping we take caution
bonds trying to break on the short term
energy also broke support
//
the jpy is pushing
in the face of the longer trends
we take the strategy that these short term moves are opportunities
//
bond are not yet ripe and yields there to curb inflation
housing being a large contributor, staving demand
the other shoe of supply needs to swoop in
June 5th, 2024, 02:18 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
the suspended belief is in play but due to the short term drop in carries there is some resistance
perhaps post nfp there may be more clarity aka next week since things are being baked in
energy is also under while bonds are over which describes a certain sentiment
//
namely, energy and yields lower bring about figures under expectations
mag7 via mgk is actually pushing resistance and possibly leading
a coiled aud/jpy would provide further tailwinds here
//
crypto is really charging higher, surpassing metals
most indexes and sectors are testing support
laggards from energy but overall positive
June 10th, 2024, 06:04 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
gamma continues to range indexes
last time was april for the drop
an unclench w/ accum is poss
June 11th, 2024, 10:35 AM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
energy had some pivotal support and dow may followup
fomc will address the context of yield normalization
europe is an outlier now and may test support
June 12th, 2024, 01:07 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
made a small oops transferring vgk instead of mgk
either way spy exposure covers from mgk wary of euro
otherwise aud/jpy seems so be synced, may be ops on iwm
//
using tlt as the bond proxy would suggest too early for anything
same for commodities including metals except maybe crypto
peso finally dropped the shoe after holding resistance
June 13th, 2024, 05:05 PM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
definitely eurozone chills but aud/jpy is carrying
mgk is pushing but there should be support confirmation
one iffy thing is that chipmakers like tsm have not tested yet
//
the end of quarter will renew opportunities however
aapl and nvda seem to be punching through
not as certain other mag7 components
June 14th, 2024, 10:01 AM
boston ma
Posts: 389 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
well things never go in a straight line anyway
gamma is pretty high so there is unlikely an extreme fri move
aud/jpy is lingering to position into the following week
//
eur/jpy is suffering only slightly and now near support
so the damage may be contained on the recent news
mag7 still levitating courtesy of aapl/nvda
Last Updated on June 27, 2024