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New method worked well this am, woke up, saw a pull back to 100ema -0.25% went long and +13pips in minutes, easy, loads of easy trades called on DAX all day, the 100ema acts as a good S/R point to trade near to No move outside of this area = ZERO losses today.
YM kinda failed to move much, but still respected the ranges very well
Final revision is here, confidence is higher, shame I fell back to sleep this am LOL
Here are my new awesome charts for the day, will it behave as well tomorrow, well doubt it but got to hope!!
Basically the Yellow Envelopes are 26sma based and white slower 100ema based.
Market tends to wander around inside of both of the ranges, not perfectly but given a moderate sized SL, more than well enough to make good profits from, if you get a yellow and a white envelope line both at the same time, then odds look even better ( don't quote me on this yet, need more research )
Not trading against the 100's direction is key, but also allow for a large area being well sideways.
As soon as you see how the market interacts with these ranges ( rubber band theory, it'll never stray to far away before springing back ) then well it looks like GRAIL!!
Does this work on GPBAUD ?? well NO, just DAX and US30 that I've tested so far, GPBAUD would work with tighter ranges in short.
Traded the 1 with LIVE next to it, with zero fear at all this am, then fell asleep again sadly.
NEED TO GET ASS IN GEAR!!
I'm back baby, I'm back!!
Images aren't working yet LOL try again tomorrow am!!
Here are the US30 trade setups for today, notice no losers, 1 CT trade as well area had been used for a while.
Balls are required on the entries, which is always tricky just trusting the method, SL size well I'm looking at 1 of the White Envelope ranges, so if I enter in the middle then the dash 0.12% line area for SL
Then you use the Yellow envelopes to time entries with the 100ema's direction mainly.
100ema, also proving to be a good S/R tool aswell, so buying near with direction = GREAT odds!!
Role on Monday for a few hours, then Wednesday to try to get back to Full time
Dax, see if you can spot where the entries are yourself
DAX trades differently to the US30 ( YM ) , moves out to the 100ema 0.25% area are generally considered reversible as DAX is less trend based, but it also gets to that area more often.
Okay, bored so might aswell do some back testing, lets ignore trend cause it's to easy to see after the effect and just test ranges, come up with a range holding expectation, no attempt to filter out news just pure maths on the ranges so DAX start 10th June
Need Codes for which range I'm taking, so :-
Y=Yellow on my chart, 26sma, +1 or -1 or +2 or -2 how far from MA I'm taking it.
W=white, 100ema same as above.
I will stop on fast moves, after taking the first hit ofcourse or profit
10th Y+1 +10 , Y-1 +10, Y+1 +10, Y-1 +10, Y+1 & W+1 -32 ( ouch, still +8 ), Y+1 +12, Y+1 +8, Y+1 +24, W-2 +10, Y-1 +12, = +74, only 1 trade went out of ranges so woulda trigged a SL hit and a loss.
11th, downtrend day, negative likely unless playing the trend, 1 loser early on on upspike over 10000.
12th, got 3 tricky areas, but all profits other than that, loads of good setups.
13th, trend down then trend up, should be visible live ( I HOPE or boned ) , 2 losses tops, winners 20+
Same pattern repeats endlessly, W +2 and -2 are rarely breached unless it's a TREND day 100ema has a good reversal rate IF it's got some momentum ie trend days.
YM basic test, US session looks comparable, maybe not quite as good as DAX and costs higher, so master DAX first and save YM for really nice setups / trend days I guess, for the time being. 1/2 size on YM aswell