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After my long realized I was looking at a bear flag and took a short. I decide right away that I was too early because the up/down tick on the HTF was still bullish so I flattened. Price made one more swing up to retest previous high and then rolled over. Unfortunately because I had already made 3 bad trades I was scared and passed on the entry.
After the European close the Price ran up and then pulled back down below the vwap. I chased the market and tried to short right in the middle of the morning chop.
Thanks for the reply. I stopped looking at CDV that way because I found myself counter trending and trying to pick reversals (and doing it poorly). But my prep chart for tomorrow is below.
I think the yellow divergence you show on the upside will be negated. Overnight/tomorrow I think the Consolidation area from yesterday will be retested and traded through. Today's high was right in the middle of it. If that happens the next target is the area from last week between 2585 and 2615. The 2596 level stopped the market cold 3 times last Wednesday and then price went down 130 pts.
If it fails to breakthrough we'll retest today's lows and possibly Monday's consolidation.
Boring day today. Two trades for a net +3 ticks. Barely enough to cover commissions but both entries were good.
Tried to take a third trade and watched a bear flag setting up for an hour but price rolled over too fast and I missed the entry. I was annoyed so I took a nap rather than trade the rest of the session.
Pre-open the market tested up into Tuesday's range twice and failed. Price rolled over below vwap and I shorted a bear flag after it bounced off bottom of the vwap. Setup was good in structure, order flow, and confirmed by TICK but the equitites just didn't follow through to the downside. I flattened - 3 pts per contract as strong buying came in.
After my first trade, NQ ran back up above vwap then pulled back to retest it. Got long and took 2.5 pts of heat before trade went in my direction. Again equities didn't have much strength so I ended up pulling in my targets: took 3 pts on 1st contract and 3.75 on the second.
Not sure what tomorrow will be like going into a long weekend but I still think we get up to 2596 before we retest the lows from last week. The choppy consolidation of the last 3 days has formed a triangle which I think will resolve to the upside. We may have to wait until next week though.
Slow Friday before a long weekend. Only took one trade today and it was a good one. Net + 4.5 pts.
Over the past couple of days the NQ has formed a triangle consolidation. During the Globex session price tested the upper boundary. At the open, it was right in the middle and trending down so I expected a test of the lower boundary. A bear flag developed and the order flow and equities lined up so I got short. Hit first target for 4.5 but 2nd contract got stopped out at BE.
The lower boundary still hasn't been reached as I write this so we'll have to wait until next week for a breakout of the pattern. (I still think to the upside).