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If you are trying to get magnitudes of the price movements, then I agree the 0-100 chart is not for you. If you just want to know general trends, like that Hogs typically hit their seasonal low in November, then the 0-100 scale works fine. I know that selling puts in November might be a good idea, but that is only one piece of the puzzle. I have to do more work than just look at that seasonal chart. Sounds like your work probably does some good things - things that can;t be seen on 0-100 chart.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
So with a little more work I think I am now there. This chart is the correct futures contract for the chart posted by Kevin. What is interesting about this chart to me is that it shows price ending the year much closer to the high than the oscillator based chart (5 Year Seasonal Line).
I have wondered about this Ron. Currently the code runs and builds the seasonal data up to expiry and then fills the remaining part of the year with the same contract month for the following year.
So if you chart seasonality for say an October month contract this chart would be NOV to OCT?
Again for a July month contract the seasonal chart would be AUG to JULY?
Can you please confirm. (It makes sense.) I can then rework my code. Thanks Michael
I just chart the last 9 months because I never trade something more than 9 months out. So for LH Oct I chart Feb-Oct. There is so little Vol & OI 12 months out. In Nov 2012 the Oct 2013 contract only had 1598 OI. On Feb 1st OI was 12,972.
Did Nat Gas margins go up in the last week or perhaps did OX bump up their requirement? I'm holding 18% more margin for my positions than last Friday (when we were trading at approximately the same level). With only 3 weeks until expiry I would have thought I'd see some margin reductions on the NGX13 contract by now.
Hey there everyone. I can't believe how many pages have amassed since I've been gone. Do any of you trade fx options particularly eurusd. If so any advice on how to trade.
Based on OEX margin requirements as of this weekend (which will go up after today's close), there are CCZ33100C
(December Cocoa) options with a pretty good rate of return.
They expire 11/1/2013.
Sell at 2 >>> monthly ROI = 11.1%
Sell at 3 >>> monthly ROI = 18.6%
Sell at 4 >>> monthly ROI = 26.1%