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I know it's hindsight chart...My system gave a sell signal at 2089 on SPX (RTH), now I am confident that I can trust my system with either RTH or ETH but big issues are entry and stops...that being said I took short yesterday ES at 2085 and covered it for 12 points....I didn't wait for my system to flip long (still trust issues and take whatever profit I can get mentality)...
Issues with my system...
1. I might not get a perfect entry
2. Overnight stops - will it be better if I go with ADR stops (overnight) to protect from any black swan events? because other stops are built in to the system...
Still in testing mode, made good progress...just one issue with time based charts i.e exits are not that good in highly volatile environment but so far I did good with ES, GC (GLD calls and NUGT stocks) and not so good with CL (UCO stock)...
Once I am comfortable/profitable then scale in the direction of trade....
I am looking at Volume based chart on Nina but I am not getting what I want with that setting so trying 4500 tick chart on ES and trying to find optimum tick chart settings on CL and GOLD (for now sticking with daily charts for these two....)
Still having tough time to follow all of my systems signals, taking all the systems signals is very important because we don't know the outcome of each individual signal but we know the outcome of collective signals.
Another issue for me is marrying to a position (mainly swing), I should take profits when price rips up in few hours in my favor for example today I entered oil using QM at 37 it ripped to 38.50, I should have take profits but I waited thinking this is start of the squeeze and next thing you know price came back down, no follow thru yet...
Edit: Sold it at 37.50 from 37...I should have taken it out at 38...damn damn...
I hate this freaking market straight or straight down...I was in long but went for a ride and knocked down, the reason got scared is the FOMC (probably the BIGGEST ever)...I was waiting for this setup for one month and in one day it reversed and ripped on my face. I didn't loose money by shorting but still very mad...
I am not regretting for missing out today as I did not plan to trade until options expiration...It seems I am lost and more confused but at the same time sticking to the plan...I don't know where my trading is leading but...day by day I am getting more confused by watching the market and it irrational behavior