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Like much of the things in life, due to single a moment's immutable effect I'm now into CL for the long haul for this combine.
Other similar examples:
- You have a fling with a cute member of the opposite tribe and are convinced that (s)he is the Perfect One. The decision is of course taken at the mature age of sixteen and then you live till the ripe age of ninety wondering in Robert Frost fashion about all the other 'roads not taken'
- etc.... you get the drift.
One thing is - should I follow the volatility and change instruments midway? That would be too much risk, since combine parameters are applicable per instrument.
I agree, too many instruments could present challenges in meeting all the requirements for all instruments. But since you have already met the parameters for CL and wish to change, then you could do so at this point without any issue.
I was unable to read the tape for CL (leading to breakeven after breakeven trades), but the price action on the Euro FX became clear suddenly (light bulb moment) hence switched to 6E which improved my performance because I was in the flow there.
The blow-by-blow account of each trade follows shortly.
I have not journaled Day 2 Blow-By-Blow yet. That is a big warning sign of an impending lapse in discipline.
The other sign is I have not completed ANY market preparations yet. Big Big Ego looming large on the horizon.
I will complete the journaling process to allow my intuition to regain its footing. Perhaps this early success has gone to my head. But I promise here that I will not go back to the markets until I finish the journaling process that puts me back in touch with my intuitive function.
If and when I reexamine my head and find it held high without fear (not held high with false self-bloat and false ego) ONLY THEN will I open up my trading platform and start. Needless to say, I will first complete the necessary homework on the market state and only then place another trade, if any manifests itself.
Also, in this period I will not doze but I will continue to work as hard as I did to prepare for this combine.
I hold myself accountable for trading CL with 'scared money' today.
These are the total five trades on CL today - three were near-scratch winners and two trades I took were actually closed at the same price as they were opened.
Trade 1 was a correctly taken (almost, but could have waited more) short.
It became obvious that once 9688 double bottom pullback level broke then the marker would form a new low before resuming its uptrend.
However I was nervous. Mainly because I had not practiced this type of trade pre-combine.
Hence I entered "anticipating" 9688 would be broken (may not be a good thing to always do), the stop was 10 ticks away and the target was 20 ticks instead of the 50 ticks planned (this was a scalp). However I could not read the tape at that moment and hence resigned myself to a breakeven + 1 stop. This was hit moments later.
You could say I chickened out, and that would not be far from the truth.
Trade 2 was a short that should have been taken earlier i.e. at 9690 but I hesitated and got filled at 9684 (confident market read, bad entry). The market then reversed quickly, almost touched my 10 tick stop at 9694 but reversed at 9692, probably after having taken out breakeven stops of the nimble folks who had entered at 9690). The market then reversed but since it was not behaving the way I had expected it to I exited at the same price on the third. This as per me was a good exit because my if..then...else logic's else clause says I must exit if the market comes back to my entry price after NOT DOING what I had expected it to do.
Trade 3 was after I came back to the screen having missed the sharp downmove. I expected a second sharp leg down but then I was flustered by not being able to read the market correctly earlier and hence I exited at a $10 gross profit ($5 after commissions). Otherwise my target of 9674 had been correct (to form a double bottom with the earlier wing low) had I waited with calm.
Trade 4 was a similar trade - this time however I was right in exiting quickly because this was a potentially dangerous trade because after Trade 3 the market had gone up and then this downmove was possibly climactic and taking on the last part of a gasping trend isn't high odds trading. So I was right about this but then I should not have taken this trade at all and should have instead waited for a reversal setup.