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The market is now closed. All of last weeks bull put spreads expired worthless this week. Here are is the final results showing the return. 50.2% return on investment this week - after commissions.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
For selling options wouldnt it be return on risk or return on margin, since your not really putting any money in to begin with. Maybe im just being nitpicky , either way nice return.
Awesome journal. You have the gift of making the complex simple and I love how you nailed this week's direction. Could you discuss more about the Strike Spread, please? Also, I've noticed the settings on your StochRSI hourly chart are different from the Daily and Weekly though the MACD settings are the same in all three timeframes, so that is something to add to your rules. And the Miner book you mentioned is his most recent one, right?
Also, if you haven't seen this vid you will be captivated as some say the method employed was selling Vertical Credit Spreads.
Now that I understand more from your thread it surely seems that way based on clues she has given: Karen, the REAL SuperTrader, interviewed on Get Tasted - YouTube
ETA: watching the vid again and you can see how a CPA would be attracted to and feel comfortable with credit/(debit) side of vertical spreads. Very interesting.
Plethora, I didn't think "Karen" was using bear call spreads? Thought she said she gave up on trying to figure out price direction and the "minutia" and was using strangles. And her gain was actually more like 50% a year. More of my comments on that tastytrade video:
While rewatching the tastytrade.com video of Tom Snosoff interviewing Karen the "supertrader" (Karen, the REAL SuperTrader, interviewed on Get Tasted - YouTube () , I realized that she didn't actually bring up her current 160 million fund …
Of course, by that measure, Allistah is doing far faster p/l% gain by being right directionally.
I checked on the spreads today after the market closed and everything is looking good at this point. Still have four more days to go so there is still a lot of time left to make things go sour but I hope that doesn't turn out to be the case.
My current assessment of the DJI:
Weekly: Bearish, is currently making a lower high - the first part of a confirmed downtrend
Daily: Bullish, but last moves down were on higher volume which indicates market sentiment is shifting to bearish
Things are still looking good for a Friday bearish expiration at this point unless some news shifts things around a bit. We shall see... ;-)
All of my spreads are looking perfect at this point for a Friday expiration as long as things don't rocket upward.
I've taken a run through my watch list and found that there is a bit of a discrepancy on where things are. On the weekly charts we've just left the overbought zone and heading down. The daily is very oversold and most are poised for an up day or two.
So what does that mean for tomorrow which is the first day that next weeks options are available? It means that I most likely will not be entering any trades tomorrow. I'm expecting an up day or two so if we get an up day tomorrow then I will wait to see what happens on Friday. If thats an up day as well I'll watch for an overbought condition on the hourly chart and start selling bearish spreads. I'd like to get in on Friday so I get those two free days of theta decay over the weekend.
As you can see in my previous posts, I'm bullish short term. I sold some bullish spreads this morning and I plan on closing them after a couple of days after there is some movement. Do not plan on holding these for more than 3 days.