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Gap: no gap
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: short/flat
DAX long (paper) trade
Entry 10:30 (CT)
Exit 14:30 (CT)
SL 0,003 pts
Result -0,003 pts (SL)
Historical results with this setup: See snapshot
SumR translates to a relative (to current FDAX price) result of X points per trade
(Relative trade result = trade result in pts / 9am open price * 10000, and the SumR is the sum of the relative trade results)
The hours look weird in the snapshot, but ie. 1000 is just the start of the 3rd 30 minute bar RTH (9:30 CT)
Gap: no gap
Gap closed during IB: x
Position price at 9:30: inside prior day HL
IB direction: short
DAX long (paper) trade
Entry 11:00
Exit 13:30
SL 0,004 pts
Result -0,0001 pts
Historical results with this setup: See snapshot
SumR translates to a relative (to current FDAX price) result of X points per trade
(Relative trade result = trade result in pts / 9am open price * 10000, and the SumR is the sum of the relative trade results)
Hi, currently I'm just paper trading as the results are not good. I'm looking at the L&S DAX data to prepare these FDAX trades.
But last year I would trade FDXM.
I have not been able to follow the trades this week as work is getting busy towards year-end and will continue until mid-January. After that I will start packing as we are moving out.
I would find time to continue the trades, but considering the results of the paper trades, which didn't really change since prior result post (46% winners / -5 pts loss total), I will focus on my work and moving out of the house.
From Feb/March we will staying some months in Asia like digital nomads, and I hope to pick up trading from there again.
Main focus will be having a bias and looking at the context.
Wishing you happy holidays and hope to see you in 2023.
After 2 years of ‘normal’ work, I’m back to trading and will continue this journal.
I’m also joining the journal challenge, so please hit the ‘thanks’ button on posts made in June 2024.
Please see the first page for an explanation.
Basically the system uses FDAX data (30m RTH) from 2010 to May 2024 and is looking for setups that gave good results in the past under similar conditions.
These conditions (which I will enter every morning during IB (9:00-9:30 CET)) are:
• What is the day of the week (Mon-Tue-….)
• Prior day OHLC and the day before
• Does the FDAX open with a gap to prior day high, and if so, is it closed during IB
• Where is the price at 9:30 (below/inside/above prior day HL)
• And of course is the IB green, flat or red
Well, you can look back in this journal and see a bit how it looks like.
Thanks for your message.
Indeed, it’s fully based on statistics. The inspiration was GFIs1’s journal, and my goal was to be able to set entry/exit times and stoploss before the trade starts, so I would take away emotions and just follow this (kind of) simple process.
I will be looking to add something to the system, that takes the current situation into account, but not sure what’s the best way forward. Any input is welcome.
I would like to share what I'm doing to prepare for a trade.
The daily process is the following:
1> Before 9:00:
a. Fill in OHLC data from prior day and the day before.
b. Is it first or last day of the month, or is there a relevant holiday (German or US)
2> Between 9:00-9:30:
a. Is there a gap between prior day HL (RTH) and today’s opening price, and did it close during IB?
b. Where is price at 9:30 (inside/blow/above prior day HL)?
c. How does the 1st 30m bar (9:00-9:30) look like (how many points did it move up or down (open-close))?
I put filters on these conditions and the system's output shows all trade results since 2010 that match these conditions.
In case there are not many occurrences, I drop some filters like the OC of 2 days ago, or if there are many occurrences, I would narrow the ranges I'm filtering for ie. IB or prior day OC.
Ideally is to have 20 occurences with good results, but as a minimum about 8 (depending on the win% and No. of points).