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1/22 recap
price opened out of value...I had a short at the ON highs,but based on where we opened, i should have covered.On the first retrace to the naked vah from friday was a long....we revisited this area again...The big pic is what this is all about, and i missed it
so sick today...i speak of extremes, and the goal,each day, is to determine where they should be.As i say, its all relative....oy.Watching the rth tpo,i feel like i am seeing a correlation, with respect to a market that is 1 time framing.Obviously, we want to trade in the correct direction.Today was a good example of this.The tpo is a 30 min time frame,and is pretty basic to pinpoint when a market is 1 timeframing,and when it stops doing this.Now , bring in the entry ch with mp/ib range.
What i am trying to do, is determine the extreme on the tpo,and then find the correct confluence .Watch for the macd to get tired,and chances are, we are in the correct area.I will continue to watch the delta, but at this point , its more for confirmation.
1/28/2012
short just off the open, above the bracket,out of value.Initial thought was to cover at eth vwap...It took almost an hour, and by that time , vwap was flat.I covered just above vwap, but to hold would have been jjustifiable, as the rth vwap was just falling.As soon as we cleared the eth vwap, cl proceeded to the bottom of the bracket.There was a reversion to the means trade long, but i was done
1/31
totally blew the open.The delta was screaming red, and i took a long off the poc...Alot of adjustments this week.Vwap will be pushed to the forfront ,with the tpo giving structure.Also, trading the opening drive will be watched now, as i need to see the big pic on a more consistent basis.Theres no point in digging a hole , out of feeling obligated to catch the open drive...it will happen
2/1 recap
cl sold off from res,with no pb.,down to support.Im trying to understand delta, and once again, its just apparent that im going to see it as a confirmation, after the fact.When cl entered value again, stubbornly, i tried to short...Lets keep this real simple(because of obvious reasons)when we have a big move, and cl comes into value, you take that trade...Its the best one in my book(ha),and it happens every day...simple
2/4
1 trade,a means reversion trade.Cl sold off, off the open,and once it reentered value, went long.Ultimately, my target was the opposing sd1 eth, which it ultimatly reached.However, i was shook out with a modest gain,by an overshoot of the rth sd1.Oh well, the trade was a good one.There was another reversion trade later in the day, which i was away for
2/5
no trades.Cl was very tight.I had an order in for a short at 10 am ,but i had to leave, and there was news.So, i cancelled it.Another reversion trade.The open had me a bit confused.
2/7
1 trade
We opened on yest poc with a rev trade eth...price screamed up to the ON highs...When we came back into value, i shorted the 1sd eth, and bailed prematurely,watching a 100 point move happen.One last attempt to come back into value, where i went long.I wanted to say this...we werent at a level to look for a reject, and we were still 1 time framing down.I discuss this on the video.And, we were just above 1b2 lower...but on the tpo,i thought that we were in no mans land....I took the trade, because i am still creating the guidelines for this kind of trade.
When price attemps to come back into value, did it reject off an extreme or a reject area?Later in the day, say after 9:30,we can look to the rth for the vwap levels, but off ther open, eth all the way.And , after the 1st hour, if we are 1 time framing ,instead of looking for cl to come back into value,look to enter at the sd1 with the tpo trend......thatis abig one there.i missed easy opportunities there
Once 1 time framing has stopped, then we look to reenter the value area