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August 24th, 2012, 01:21 PM
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator Developer Swing Trader
Experience: Advanced
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Frequency: Every few days
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Source: Bespoke Investment Group - Think BIG - Economist Expectations for GDP and Unemployment Out to Q12014
Quoting
From Bloomberg, below is an updated snapshot of consensus economist estimates for GDP growth (QoQ%) and the unemployment rate going out to the first quarter of 2014. The consensus estimates come from Bloomberg surveys of dozens of economists on a regular
basis .
As shown in the first chart below, GDP growth is expected to still be below 2% in the first quarter of 2013. Economists are then expecting GDP to grow by 2.4% in Q2 2013, 2.6% in Q3 '13, 2.8% in Q4 '13 and 2.95% in Q1 2014. Unfortunately, 3%+ GDP growth is not expected at any point in the next year and a half.
Along with sub-3% GDP growth, economists aren't expecting a significant drop in the unemployment rate over the next year and a half either. The consensus expectation for unemployment is 8% or higher through Q2 2013, and then it dips by 20 basis points per quarter over the next three quarters. By Q1 2014, the unemployment rate will be at 7.5% based on the average economist estimate.
Mike
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Best Threads (Most Thanked) in the last 7 days on NexusFi
August 24th, 2012, 01:24 PM
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator Developer Swing Trader
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,621 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,356
Thanks Received: 101,989
Source: Bernanke To The Rescue "There Is Scope For Further Action By The Federal Reserve" | ZeroHedge
Quoting
It is Friday, and the market is in danger of posting its first weekly loss in months. Which means it is time for everyone's favorite
Fed mouthpiece, Jon Hilsenrath to hand over the podium to his true superior, Ben Bernanke, by posting the Chairsatan's response letter to Republican Darrel Issa in which he defends QE and leave in the following: "There is scope for further action by the Federal Reserve to ease financial conditions and strengthen the recovery." And just to make sure that as Hilsenrath is to
the Fed , so Reuters is to the
ECB , we get the following tried and now simply pathetic regurgitation of the Spiegel rumor from this Sunday (which was since denied at least two times for the simple reason that Germany will never agree to open-ended debt monetization until global stock markets are literally collapsing) via Reuters: "ECB considering setting
yield band targets under new bond buying programme according to sources." Of course, neither Ben has said anything new, nor the ECB has said something that is on the margin either credible or actionable (recall that earlier today the ECB explicitly said its hands are tied until the Kardinals of Karlsruhe make their decision in 3 weeks), but the market doesn't care, and surges. Sadly for the programmed market ramp, the non-news was leaked too early, and should have been released at 3:30 pm at the earlier. Look for a full German denial shortly.
Mike
August 27th, 2012, 03:03 PM
Manta, Ecuador
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August 27th, 2012, 05:54 PM
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator Developer Swing Trader
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Aug. 27 (Bloomberg) -- Thomas Lee, chief U.S. equity strategist at JPMorgan Chase, talks with Bloomberg's Adam Johnson and Linzie Janis about the outlook for stocks. They speak on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)
Mike
August 31st, 2012, 02:39 PM
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator Developer Swing Trader
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September 7th, 2012, 11:07 PM
Manta, Ecuador
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NFP today at 96k.
QE3 next week?
Mike
September 7th, 2012, 11:10 PM
Columbus, OH
Market Wizard
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Big Mike
NFP today at 96k.
QE3 next week?
Mike
nope
September 8th, 2012, 02:33 AM
Czech republic
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I just guessing, what will become markets worser? Acceptance of the QE3 or refuse (zoom out) of the QE3?
We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then, is not an act, but a habit.
Aristotle
September 8th, 2012, 06:06 PM
Aurora, Il USA
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I found a childhood picture of Bernanke.........
September 8th, 2012, 06:35 PM
Manta, Ecuador
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More
Mike
Last Updated on May 21, 2023