Pick and choose, those favorable setups do have bounce/support

Again the frontrun AI related without generating matching revs TBD

Inflation slack gives room due to non-consumer / tariff induced increases

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Enough for NFP? Would be watching shorter term rates, long term seems stable

going into nfp with earnings backdrop and data

would be digesting post news post front run

rates are not necessarily solidified of now

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incoming earnings and a TBD sentiment

vol has contracted and the tech sector pulls back

sentiment more to match the callouts of high prices

especially with AI investments at the helm pushing up


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some dips in the making with vol as well

earnings sloughing in for the fall season

some extension perhaps exhaustion

spy and qqq are still behaving tho

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new month, free to roam after capping out

getting some yoyo swings back and forth, bit of large ranging

the event based knee jerk reactions are also annoying

less trendy than normal with things pending

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in the current pre-earnings see-saw, positioning near value is important

the large swings do suggest intermingling convictions

normally toward the later stages, either pushing further

or maybe gradual indications of pausing and consolidating

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AI has some layers now (TSR - inference vs GPU - training)

including supporting infrastructure or improvements in efficiency

even efficient, compressed processes that increase usage headroom

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much has played out, or events baked in, would need further input

Wanting to record more faux pas, so likely to maintain journal of mistakes.

Silver. really early, but learning took mid-80s out and return above 90s.

Have since engulfed back to high 80s, unique setup, some scars.

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In uncertainty with larger vol and range, holding on expansions is unfavorable

So waiting is a good thing, patience because the market is there

Especially with the recent silver vol, wait and see is a decent strat

Have since validated and realize that there will be further chances

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Somehow in waiting, you let the market wait for you
The epitome of this is Magnus Carlsen always arriving late

Still even then early, but see the area, which is still resilient

Hard to really target prior until several confirmations

Once again patience is key, especially given vol

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Margin of error is needed to buffer such vol

looks open ended still so looking to verify at next target

hint is the differential between prices in other areas

however, that is not always an available indicator

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still early, marking targets to see reaction before proceeding[/U]