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Preferred targets for a small swing (if the reversal assumption is correct) would be around 11730 imo.
Guess we will get hints as soon as the momentary short-term overextension decreases, but probably
not before US RTH.
Your mentioned area above is reached.
Some correction is for sure needed to make the 13k soon.
As price is in thin air here and supports are invisible - the 11730 can be quickly made (within 2 - 3 days).
Actual price was diving in hourly Kumo and sits now in the middle.
The lower Kumo support sits @ 11810 which IS the TenkanSen of the daily chart.
Next lower support (which will slightly move up a bit the next days) is now 11492
which is shifted by me to 11512 next...
11810 is also interesting in other techniques. Volume profile e.g. has a massive airhole starting just below 11810.
So the region 11800-11600 could become a very fast one.
Today:
1) prev day had no high vola
2) tomorrow is last of quarter - normally pushing to new highs and polishing numbers (bonuses etc.)
3) today we see a promising WienerWalzer pattern developing
So
1st IB 74 points in 30 minutes with good volume
2nd candle 67 points
3rd candle green: entry long @ 12073
4th candle......: exit @ ??
Will a WienerWalzer pattern develop valid under these circumstances?
GFIs1
Edit: 12:15
No normal 4 long 2 short pattern did came out...
Conclusion: no NEW rule
And testing only when high vola day (+150 points) happened the day before
Yesterday during cash hours a 242 points move down:
Today no normal trade but looking for our Wiener Walzer pattern could bring some extra points.
Just looking carefully (at this special occasion) the 30min. movements on the Dax.