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Conditions:
Woke up late at 5:27PST - very tired and a big effort to get up.
Gathered O/n data and saw that expected range had contracted from 16.50 to 12.50 -discouraging.
Saw that there would be no news other than consumer confidence - 9am CT
est:
Dir=-1
mid chg=-1
rng=12.50
30min dir,chg down to 1302
(this was correct actual L1300.25@8:46
I wrote that adding the 2.50 drop from 1308 to 1305.50 to 1308 could take us to 1310.50. We have been to 1311.
25 @12:04 - so this higher target could have been achieved.
This morning (Tuesday) I was very tired and got up late. I've been for a walk and reviewed my notebook.
The "Est Mid , Est Rng" estimate made on Monday night was 1315.50-1299.50. (I used Monday's close as an setimate of Tuesday's opening price until 8:30am CT.)
The close Monday to open this morning was +2.0. Adding this to "Est Mid , Est Rng" is the adj "Est Mid , Est Rng"
= 1317.50 vs actual high of 1317.25
and
=1301.50 vs actual low of 1300.25.
I woke up at 1am worrying. It started worrying about my sister in Montreal who has schizophrenia and toxioplasma gondii.and what will happen to her when my mom dies. Then it continued on about my brother who is dying from alcoholism and despair, and the circle widened and widened to friends with problems and then to the world.
At two I put on a tape to try to quiet my mind and get to sleep. At three, the tape ended, and I gave up trying to sleep and got up. I've had my shower, and my first coffee and listening to my tape "Don't worry, about a thing - because every little thing is going to be allright."
" Stocks Hold Steady to Solid Gains 03/29/2011 4:30 PM
[BRIEFING.COM] In contrast to the prior session, the stock market put together an impressive gain and held it into the close. The action in recent sessions is making for a strong finish to the first quarter. Stocks are currently up almost 5% year to date. That puts the S&P 500 on track to tie last year's first quarter performance, which was actually the best first quarter that stocks had recorded since 1998. Buying interest in recent weeks hasn't come as a result of any particular catalyst or economic development, rather a fear among participants of missing out on further gains. Buyers showed their willingness to step in with a bid once it was apparent that an early slip wasn't hit with any kind of follow through selling interest. Participants pretty much shrugged off news that analysts at Standard & Poor's trimmed Portugal's debt rating another notch lower to BBB-, which is barely above junk status. They also cut Greece's rating two notches to BB-. Participants were also dismissive of the March Consumer Confidence Index, which came in at 63.4 when the consensus among economists was for a reading of 65.0 following the upwardly revised reading of 72.0 for the prior month."
---
buying on a fear of missing gains - ok this is solid !
Please Bennie print some more money - I'm in fear of missing out on gains!
I've seen your face here before.
You think you've got it all
but there is so much more.
You hit the wall, you fall,
and then you learn to crawl again.
There's a world to explore.
Because there's no danger,
do I look like a stranger?
Just look left, look right, everybody's doing it.