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NQ - Slowly figuring things out. Very slowly.


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  #1 (permalink)
 Binkius 
Detroit, MI / USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IRT
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: MNQ. MES
Posts: 45 since Apr 2016
Thanks Given: 31
Thanks Received: 83

Homework (evening of 1/30/18) in preparation for 1/31/18 trading day.

-Breakdown of accelerated channel lines.
-Looking for sideways trading until FOMC meeting concludes (news event).
-Looking to see if Volume Profile balances out.
-If balance forms, will look of large trending movement away from balance.









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  #3 (permalink)
 WhatHappened 
Atlanta, GA
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Thinkorswim
Trading: Metals
Posts: 18 since Jan 2018


Nice post. The futures that are correlated have pretty solid down signals at this time. One being Palladium, which in the last few days has broken its 500->1100 channel.


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  #4 (permalink)
 WhatHappened 
Atlanta, GA
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Thinkorswim
Trading: Metals
Posts: 18 since Jan 2018

I don't think it's really possible, mathematically speaking, for the market to keep rising at this point barring some major event. Does anyone have insight?


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  #5 (permalink)
 
Rrrracer's Avatar
 Rrrracer 
On the road
Trading Nomad
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: TradingView
Broker: Oanda
Trading: FX
Posts: 2,513 since Feb 2017
Thanks Given: 17,587
Thanks Received: 9,760

LOL what's the old adage... "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."


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  #6 (permalink)
 WhatHappened 
Atlanta, GA
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Thinkorswim
Trading: Metals
Posts: 18 since Jan 2018

watch this
It's not really possible, mathematically speaking, for the market to keep falling at this point barring some major event.
solvent, it's having a healthy mind


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  #7 (permalink)
 hummeljt 
Davenport, IA
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES
Posts: 12 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 5
Thanks Received: 13


WhatHappened View Post
watch this
It's not really possible, mathematically speaking, for the market to keep falling at this point barring some major event.
solvent, it's having a healthy mind

Thought it was pretty clever, with closes up today. Time will tell whether you called a bottom here!

Pretty impressive you called a top on 31 Jan...


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  #8 (permalink)
 WhatHappened 
Atlanta, GA
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Thinkorswim
Trading: Metals
Posts: 18 since Jan 2018

Thanks. Short VXG8 at 22.25 right now.. Easiest play ever, reversing NQ swing


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  #9 (permalink)
 WhatHappened 
Atlanta, GA
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Thinkorswim
Trading: Metals
Posts: 18 since Jan 2018

Still some room to short Volatility at 20.18. NQ so predictable in these cycles!


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  #10 (permalink)
 Binkius 
Detroit, MI / USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: IRT
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: MNQ. MES
Posts: 45 since Apr 2016
Thanks Given: 31
Thanks Received: 83


Moved back to Taiwan. Homework for trading on 2/20/18.

Chart 1: Sunday over night, Monday RTH, Monday overnight. Price is just exploring the volume node without initiative buying to push out of volume profile distribution. Very balanced distribution has formed. Primed for an intiative move out of this area.

Chart 2: 20x3 NQ PnF chart. Shows triple bottom break back in early Feb. Possible double bottom break forming now. 18 contracts short (fantasy position) near triple bottom break (scaled in starting late January). Already scaled out of 11 contracts (+$81,000 realized sim-profit), holding tight for swing trade. Fantasy trading, mashing on the keyboard. Not real.

The two charts together lead me to believe that any move down will be worth following. Balanced profile from first chart with double-bottom breakout on second chart.


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