Seasonal Trading for success year after year

December 5th, 2012, 03:52 PM

Anyone here consider seasonal trading with a majority of ones capital?

Kaeppel's Corner: A Simple Seasonal Calendar for Stock Market Investors

Jay’s Simple Seasonal Calendar (JSSC) System

3 Bullish Periods to be in the Stock Market each year:

1) February 18th through May 4th

2) October 27th through November 2nd

3) November 17th through January 7th

The rest of the year is spent in cash

For testing purposes we start on December 31st, 1969. Also for testing purposes, when in cash we assume a nominal rate of interest earned of 1% per calendar year.

Note the chart below that shows results of growth beginning with a balance of $1,000 invested using Seasonal Calendar (blue line) versus buying-and-holding Dow Industrials (red line); 12/31/69 to present.

Certainly something to consider with a portion of one's investment capital. One might even consider ITM LEAP Call options for this investment. You could even sell a short term OTM Call option against the long option to limit one's exposure, if it helps you sleep at night.

WK

December 5th, 2012, 03:57 PM

There is already a thread for this:

Intraday Seasonality Volatility - When to Trade and When Not to Trade

Specific Trading Times

Each instrument has its specific times, when it can be traded, and also has its times, when trading does not pay off. The question is. how to determine the optimal trading times?

The main criterion is volatility. If volatility …

Mike

December 5th, 2012, 04:27 PM

Am I incorrect in my research that the thread you posted above is Intraday trading?
I am looking at a longer term investing on this seasonal trading. Here we could include all futures, especially grains. Any thoughts on continuing this thread? Back later.
Thanks.
WK

December 7th, 2012, 01:10 PM

Market Data - Optionetics, Inc.

Market Data
Then & Now: Current Sector Relative Strength

See below.

November 25, 2012 by Clare White, CMT, Optionetics.com

Teaser: Relative strength is a widely used approach to assess the financial markets. This article updates one from 2011 and provides current RS calculations for nine sectors.

Seasonal Trading for success year after year

Discussion in Stocks and ETFs

Seasonal Trading for success year after year