2023 Rabbit

(login for full post details)

continuation of:

2022, year two (plus 10 or so)

continuation of previous journals:

resurrecting, partly due to realigning strategies and slowly progressing using small accounts

have thrown out a lot that did not work, and kept things minimal to make sure things are running smoothly

lost …

2021, year one

this is a continuation of my 2020 journal

looking back at the year, went from many potential goals
eliminating many guesses, and ending with a simplified solution

through trial and error, repeated mistakes
the funneling does not over-engineer …

2020 vision st.

[INTRO]

the goal is to plan higher probability trades. the arsenal:

[ONE]
oscillator that throws out early signals -----> to avoid late exit

[TWO]
multiple checks on entry/exit -----> to avoid false signals

[THREE]
high/low …

less verbose and real-time, to be used sparingly

(login for full post details)

VIX indicates that we are in a buy the dip phase, dips pending

(login for full post details)

that was the dip to be had

(login for full post details)

indexes are out of sync/misaligned, needs another re-test

(login for full post details)

motors convert potential to kinetic energy (EV, ICE): EV: charging(potential), ICE: detonate (kinetic)
even the heart has stroke phases. currently vix is providing initiating charge to setup index thresholds

there is no predetermined direction, just that potential energy will become kinetic once activated
thresholds do provide inflection points like shunts or valves in a stroke engine to direct flow

a delta neutral position can still buy lows and sell highs in equivalent amounts during potential phases
while a kinetic phase will cause a directional imbalance from reducing one side and adding to another

until vix finishes ratcheting, the potential energy is still being primed, while a larger neutral position builds
when energy is finally released, the larger the initial size, the greater allowance for potential imbalance

so that a larger displacement, difference in voltage, etc. provides a greater amount of kinetic energy
that said, the current setups seem to be collecting larger and larger potential energy, be forewarned

(login for full post details)

the impetus for higher is now removed, the challenge did not form a LT HH but hedging opps

for further direction, pending data, as tech earnings roll through with guidance

(login for full post details)

previous guidance was pessimistic, while ongoing guidance seems to be positive or an attempt to prop in an ongoing / modest environment

areas revisited are seem decent for positioning, again whether the view is half empty or full with the current attempts at positivity

(login for full post details)

inflection tipping leading to tests of prev, drawn for incoming quarter

(login for full post details)

Incomplete impulses toward pending events that may finish things out and point toward the next move

(login for full post details)

action shows nearing finishing type moves, though not complete and can continue based on earnings (or future data points like nfp)

2023 Rabbit

Discussion in Trading Journals

2023 Rabbit