Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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Netherlands & Germany Surge as World Cup Field Narrows Tonight	0	124	June 20th, 2026 07:38 PM
Without Pulisic, USA 61.5% Live vs. Australia -- France Leads at 18.45%	0	67	June 19th, 2026 03:55 PM
Iran Lebanon Problem Kills Switzerland Talks, Brent at $79 -- Mexico Qualifies First, USA Plays	0	63	June 19th, 2026 07:12 AM
MOU Signed at Versailles -- Burgenstock Talks Postponed, Oil Back to $80 [Updated June 19]	2	84	June 19th, 2026 07:09 AM
Fed Hike Odds at 57% After Warsh: England Surges 12.9%, World Cup Field Narrows	0	73	June 18th, 2026 03:15 PM
Czechia Live at 52.5% as England Rides 4-2 Wave to Co-Favorite -- Hormuz Geneva Signing Tomorro	0	74	June 18th, 2026 07:15 AM
Warsh Drops Easing Bias, December Hike Now Above 50% -- Portugal 1-1 Congo DR at the 90th as $5	0	82	June 17th, 2026 03:12 PM
FOMC Decision Day 2 PM ET: Warsh's First Call -- Iranian Tankers Exit Blockade, Geneva Signing Friday [Updated]	1	120	June 17th, 2026 07:11 AM
Warsh Opens Today, Hormuz June 19 -- WTI Below $80, France Leads World Cup at 17.65%	0	81	June 16th, 2026 07:22 AM
BOJ Hits 31-Year High as Warsh FOMC Opens -- Iran Deal: Dow Record, Nasdaq +3%, Oil $83 [Updated]	1	93	June 16th, 2026 07:12 AM
June 15 Binary RESOLVES YES: Deal Complete, Hormuz Opens June 19 -- Brent -4.7% [Updated]	1	108	June 15th, 2026 07:19 AM
Iran Deal "In Review" at 87% on Deadline Day -- WTI Crashes Below $81	0	73	June 15th, 2026 07:07 AM
Warsh Rate Hike at 40%, Iran June 15 Expires Tonight at 13% -- Germany Drops 7 on Curacao Live	0	88	June 14th, 2026 03:13 PM
Deal Text Confirmed: Pakistan Delivers MOU, Signing-Day Chaos -- Brent $87, Iran Fires Missiles [Updated June 14]	3	157	June 14th, 2026 07:12 AM
Iran Forward Curve: June 30 at 56% vs June 15 at 28% -- Brazil Tonight	0	99	June 13th, 2026 03:13 PM
The June 15 Resolution Trap: Iran's 'Agreed Text' Still Prices at 15.45% -- France 16%, Balogun	0	91	June 13th, 2026 07:12 AM
World Cup Opens: USA at 45.5% Tonight as Markets Push Back Against 88% Public Consensus -- Iran	0	186	June 12th, 2026 03:16 PM
June 15 Peace Odds Surge From 3.6% to 12.25% After Trump Halts Military Action -- Four Days to	0	111	June 11th, 2026 03:15 PM
Second Night of US Strikes Crushes Iran June 15 to 3.6% -- World Cup Kickoff	0	97	June 11th, 2026 07:09 AM
$4.5M Floods Russia Nuclear Contract in 24 Hours -- Kremlin Escalates Threats as Two Geopolitic	0	92	June 10th, 2026 07:11 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.