Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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Iran and Israel Stand Down: What $9M in Peace Contracts Knew -- World Cup 2026 Kicks Off in 48	0	195	June 9th, 2026 07:10 AM
Iran Fired a Missile at Israel Last Night. The $8M June 8 Airspace Contract Knew Before the Hea	0	201	June 8th, 2026 07:09 AM
Day 100: Most Intense Exchange Since Ceasefire -- June 15 at 6.5%, May Jobs +172k, CPI Wednesday	1	224	June 7th, 2026 07:12 AM
Roland Garros Final Day: $3M on Zverev at 80.5% -- Lebanon Contract Disputed, Fed June Hold Loc	0	146	June 7th, 2026 07:12 AM
Kalshi Hits $1 Billion in Super Bowl Trading Volume -- Prediction Markets Just Had Th	1	468	June 7th, 2026 04:07 AM
Six Days to Kickoff: World Cup Prediction Markets Hit $1.58 Billion -- Congo DR's $12M Day Is t	0	171	June 5th, 2026 07:04 AM
Sunday's Verdict: Lebanon Locked at 99.85% as Iran June 7 Dies -- The June 15 Spread at 14% Is	0	176	June 4th, 2026 07:04 AM
Iran Strikes Kuwait Airport, US Hits Qeshm Island -- WTI at $96, Ceasefire on Life Support [Updated June 3]	1	178	June 3rd, 2026 07:18 AM
Day 96 Missiles Hit Kuwait and Bahrain: June 15 Peace at 11.5%, World Cup $523M Countdown Begin	0	138	June 3rd, 2026 07:06 AM
UMA Votes Tonight: Polymarket's $80M Strategy Bitcoin Battle Heads to Governance -- Iran's June	0	196	June 2nd, 2026 03:10 PM
$500M Riding on World Cup 2026: France/Spain Co-Favored at 17%, Haaland's Norway at 2.75% Is th	0	203	June 2nd, 2026 07:07 AM
Saylor's 41-Month HODL Breaks: Strategy Sells 32 BTC as $43.7M Polymarket Contract Goes to Adju	0	167	June 1st, 2026 03:08 PM
Trump Toughens MOU Terms: US-Iran Trade Strikes, Kuwait Hit -- Oil +2.7% as Ceasefire Cracks [June 1]	1	199	June 1st, 2026 07:18 AM
After $87M Settles NO: Iran's Nuclear Redline Sets Up the June Trade, CME Bitcoin Vol Debuts, W	0	159	June 1st, 2026 07:05 AM
60-Day Hormuz Extension Stalls: Trump Demands Uranium Surrender, Iran Refuses -- Odds Crash 60% to 33% [Updated May 31]	4	304	May 31st, 2026 07:11 AM
'More Than Capable': Hegseth's War Warning Validates $114M in Expiring No-Peace Bets -- World C	0	153	May 31st, 2026 07:04 AM
Prediction Markets Pivot: Sports Now 85% of Kalshi Volume as World Cup 2026 Markets Awaken -- B	1	1,428	May 31st, 2026 04:08 AM
Penalties in Budapest, Peace Deadline in Tehran: Arsenal Surges to 52.5% as $80M Iran Contract	0	194	May 30th, 2026 03:12 PM
UCL Final Kicks Off at Noon ET: PSG at 56.5% as Iran May 31 Cluster Prices Mass Failure -- Both	0	154	May 30th, 2026 07:05 AM
Hantavirus Reaches Switzerland: Pandemic at 8%, Iran Peace Collapses to 13%	1	252	May 30th, 2026 04:08 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.