20250815 pre market



News
10:00 numbers
15:30 Trump meets Putin !!!

Condition 1
described breakout of 2 balance areas intact
wed and thursd build a new balance area which is my "new sheriiff in town"

Condition 0
New ath in eth
open near top of 2 day balance

Thoughts

20250815 recap


Thought about a little liquidation below y low
It did not come
Nonetheless i made a few points

20250818 pre market



News
ukraine talks in washington

Condition 1
3 day balance area
on top of the break out level (bullish)


Condition 0
eth explored a lizttle lower
open near fridays low

Thoughts
balance rules apply

20250819 recap


Something between non-trend and neutral
All responsive trades won
All initiative trades lost
After the fact i should have only traded responsive :-)
Lost 10 points, no problem at all

20250819 pre market



News
10:00 feds bowman
13:00 wh press briefing
14:10 feds bowman

Condition 1
4 day balance area

Condition 0
we open in balance

Thoughts
Balance rules apply
The balance area low was made in eth

20250819 recap



I started responsive with the assumption that the balance area is key
As they succesfully broke out of it i changed to short

20250820 pre market



News
10:30 crude
11:00 feds waller
13:00 bond auction
14:00 fed minutes !!!
1500 feds bostic

Condition 1
yesterday we broke out of a 4 day balance area
higher tf are all up

Condition 0
eth was in lower third of range or below

Thoughts
We have to see if this is the start of a bigger pullback or if buyers step in fast
acceptance back in the upper balance area would signalize the latter
Anchored vwap from the bottom or monthly vwap could help us judge

20250825 pre market



News
10:00 home sales

Condition 1
with powell comments market jumped up
Now we are back in the upper balance area
For now the pullback on the daily is finished

Condition 0
eth tested a bit below fridays belly but not much
we open a bit below the belly

Thoughts
Signposts for today can be bellly l, onl, fridays mid
A test lower that fails can be a long opportunity

20250826 recap



We saw minor shake out to the downside that was not abe to get the onl
I bought first signs of strenghth after this
We accepted in the belly but did not see much passion
I had to leave for an appointment, left position in with targets at poc (which i missed by a point) and y rth h
In the end we saw some late liquidation

20250826 pre market



News
10:00 numbers
tomorrow amc nvda

Condition 1
Following the powell boost on friday we had some consolidation yesterday

Condition 0
eth tested lower into fridays single prints
we open near y low

Thoughts
If we see rth acceptance below fridays mid /below y range i would start to question the up direction

Not much bias here from my side
Look what develops and go for a smaller scalp