20250926 pre market



News
we had pce
10:00 michigan numbers
13:00 feds bowman

Condition 1
3 day consolidation/liquidation

Condition 0
open with small gap up

Thoughts
yesterdays h is line in the sand
acceptance above could bring buying
acceptance below could bring selling

20250926 recap



market started very strong
but then failed hard at 10:00
that short structure lasted a few tpo´s but was not able to follow through
so i traded long the rest of the day

we have higher value with a "value island"

if we would have finished strong i would eventually have left a runner

i had a solid month
next to week i am on vacation


I wish you good trading :-)

20251013 pre market



News
nothing scheduled
but comments on trade can come anytime
in this newsy environment

Condition 1
big range expansion on friday after comments on trade war

Condition 0
we saw covering in eth which reaches fridays mid

Thoughts
we are up >35% from the april lows
pullbacks/liquidadions are normal and healthy
Will this be bought back soon like the others since april? I do not know. But there could be more covering above onh
Could the sell off continue? I do not know. If we see acceptance below rth l there coud be more selling
Do we just balance out this huge move from friday today. Could also be

As always:
Navigate with milestones
See what is

Expect early chop

20251013 recap



neutral to up inside day

20251014 pre market



News
12:20 powell
trade war comments anytime

Condition 1
big liquidation day
followed by much smaller inside day

Condition 0
we gap below the inside day

Thoughts
Use edges of inside day as reference points. Any change to the upside has to find acceptance in y range first
Next reference to the downside is liquidation day poc and low and its much lower eth low

Do not start too agressively. There will be many opportunities in this vola

20251014 recap



traded lower but was not able to get swing low
nice short in the hole opportunity
Exit at prior days low

20251015 pre market



News
0930 feds miran
0930 ms earnings
1230 feds miran
1300 feds waller
1430 feds schmid

Condition 1
yesterdays covering rally reached the 61,8 retracement of the big liquidation day

Condition 0
open with small gap up
eth stopped at bottom of 2w balance area

Thoughts
rth acceptance above 61,8% is bullish
acceptance in the visious balance area also
acceptance below y upper distribution could change the picture

20251015 recap



Stressful day with two major changes in direction

20251016 pre market



News
fed speaker
1000 numbers
1200 crude

Condition 1
we are inside that liquidation day for 3 days now

Condition 0
open in y upper distribution

Thoughts
Y selloff was on strong volume but it was not able to follow through
For now we see no real selling
I think it is just a very NEWSY environment

20251016 recap


started bullish
then looked neutral
then accelerated to the downside

first down move turned before yrthl
that gave a nice weak low target for the second down move