20260127 pre market



News
10:00 numbers
tomorrow fed
and tech earnings amc

Condition 1
otf up
grinding towards ath with low passion

Condition 0
we open near y h

Thoughts
watch tech sector and/or qqq
they are trying to break out of multiple weeks of balance

On the other hand market could be patient before the big numbers tomorrow

chicken coop 1


expect unclean behaviour

20260127 recap



I closed early
When move is only driven by tech it makes not much sense
sector divergence makes it choppy

In future i will have a look at the nq in cases of sector divergence

ES vs NQ



Looks so slippy and thin
But in NQ we have 74% of the usd volume of ES

ES 420 billion
NQ 312 billion

sector for ES and stocks for NQ

20260128 pre market nq



News
0945 boc rate
1030 boc press conf
1400 fomc
1440 conf

msft, meta and tsla amc

Condition 1
otf up
attempting to break out of multiple week balance

Condition 0
open with medium gap up
oni is long
opeb in middle of onr (reduces oni balancing)

Thoughts
market is bullish ahead of big tech earnings
iran war can begin every minute

20260128 recap



As NQ is a bit faster than ES i have to be cautious to not get lured in by some fast ticks

Marked closed the gap in a very clean move
For now the NQ breakout holds
We have to see how it trades in rth

20260129 pre market



News
meta +10%
mdft -7%
tsla +1%
pre market

10:00 numbers

aapl amc

Condition 1
At the moment we hold the breakout
But we have to see what the rth brings

- acceptance below yl /breakout level could trigger more selling
- higher prices could trigger more buying
- and as always: door no 3 is balance

Condition 0
eth after earnings releases is in range
expect chop especially inside y liquidation belly

Thoughts
especially in nq, wait for something impactful to start
no need to participate too much

no general selling


anything can happen
but for now it is mainly tech and not the broad market

20260129 recap



Rough liquidation, driven by tech
I thought about holding but decided to take profits near last weeks poc
After C in grinded back above 61,8


My marked short was absolutely avoidable
Just wait for some impact move and trade a pullback
There is no need to anticipate