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Real Trade in TWTR, entry reasons:
1. Market is always-in long, should be low risk in long side
2. Breakout of bear trendline, which formed by pullback
Target reached, actually should have placed target higher.
Sim trade in FB: Trading range at the first 3 5min bars, hoping a double top with yesterday's high. But my hope is stronger than the reality in my mind. Price soared after my first entry.
Switched to long side, at a range area, anticipating a pullback, adding to long as the price stepped down. First adding area is the bottom of trading range area, the other is near the R1. Exited near 85.80 area.
Real trade in FB, entry reasons:
1. Strong bear market yesterday, MA trending down today.
2. Strong bull bar and bear bar before my entry, two bar reversal pattern and failed trendline break.
Since there was sign of support at 82.20 area, I assume the down side movement was likely going to happen but the main power came from the momentum of preivous two-bar reversal. The chance of break through the support was not high, so I took a scalpe of 15 cents.
Sim trade in FB,
First trade reason:
1. Support at 82.20 area has been tested and held, time for a upside movement
2. Breakout of bear trendline after the two-bar reversal
My target was around the yesterday low area, price failed to approach and showed some bear strength. I was afraid of another two bar reversal at MA area and another test of support, so I flipped to short side, and placed the target at 82.20 area, or even S3 if there was sign of strong bear.
Second trade failed, the bull bar after my entry setup a trap for bears, fliped again to long side as the bull bar broke to bear trendline. A HL has been formed just before my entry, there has been sign of bull (big bull bars, long wick at bottom of bars near support area, double bottom, MA stopped declining). I swing this long trade till there was sign of double top developing.
One trade in FB with 3 entries. I was traped to the longside while the price plunged just after my first entry. Entry reasons:
1. Bull strength at the first 2 bars
2. Pullback to MA and bounced up again (2 bars before my entry)
There was quite a good sign of continuation of bull market, but my entry area was a good trap, it turned into a doji bar, and the next bar went down sharp. I should have stopped out as soon as it broke the bottom of doji bar. But I hesitated, and cancelled my stop order.
As the price continued to move downside, the bull strength waned. But I was not too afraid about today turning into a bear day, as the opening bull strength was good. Added at the MA area, should have added more on yesterday's low area. The big bull bar showed up too quickly, didn't catch it. Add more as it broke upside of the trading range at MA area, and exited as soon as account showed a little profit. I was pretty sure that it is a trading range day, I doubt the strength of bull to make at least a double top. So I exited quickly.
Only SIM trades today. The first entry, reasons:
1, Big spike down began at 25min
2, Beautful bull signal just after huge bear spike, it must be a bull trap (70% for another down movement, 29% trading range, 1% V shape reversal)
***For the record, I didn't think of V shape reversal at that moment, now I look back, the chance of V shape here was really low. The V shape usually occurs at the end of protracted trend and is always after a climatic and overshoot movement. Here, the bear spike is a spike and a climax behavior, but there is no sign of early bear trend, and there is no overshoot movement (HL compared to the low of last Thursday)
After my first trade, I assume the momentum of bear spike began to abate. I entered and added around the S1 level, set my target around the entry area of my first trade (black dash line). The price didn't move up after setting a support at S1 level, instead it was forming a wedge, and broke downside. This breakout is the 3rd push down, should be the last one. I accidentally clicked the close button, and exited. Still my target got filled later in the day.
I think today is very classic. After the first half hour, a spike down with a bull trap. Then comes a wedge with 3 push-up. After that, comes the 3rd push down, and a reverse to test yesterday open. At last, a trading range to end the day.