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Sorry for not posting these days, I am currently burried under piles of work...
FREEDOM FOR FREELANCERS!!!
Just a quick note, I thought the down move in FESX would happen yesterday... I saw the "eating of the floor" consisting of limit buy orders and would short the market and would probably experience what others know - being stopped out and disappointed.
Happy trading.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
After four years of on and off monitoring of FESX (hope that sentence is undestandable ), I decided to change the market and go for FGBL.
It is not that I tracked FESX only, I have always in my trading history reviewed other Eurex indices (including DAX and other fixed income derivatives). I just decided first to go for EuroStoxx because of its huge liquidity. However recently (say last 12 months) I can see that its liquidity does not compensate for size of its swings.
I now know that I can have better RRR with FGBL (which the most liquid market from fixed income derivatives) and finally decided to make the change.
It may sound funny from someone who has not yet been trading live FESX but I just wanted to let those who sometimes tracked my PMAs know.
Balancing, smaller balance formed within a bit longer balance in an overall downtrend.
Small balance has not yet formed a full MP so I would assume going higher tomorrow but it depends on the open and how the market behaves tomorrow. We are at value area low of the longer balance, there is too low volume below that point.
We are imbalanced higher in a medium-term balanced range so I would suppose it will get lower now, back to value. We are at the balanced range VAH and that price level has already been tested twice so there is some interest in that area and we might see some more balancing around todays highs with some possible creeping a bit higher. Market closed back in value, it was quite a balanced day. We will see tomorrow, open will also hint.
We finally got into an area where shorting is much preferable. After a longish struggle in the morning the market got a bit higher but only to get back into value again. We tested 143.20 a lot so we will see tomorrow if it still holds as a support or if the market just goes past it on its journey back to POC.
Interesting zones:
BUY
143.20-23 (but with big question mark)
142.96-143.04
142.79
SELL
143.49
143.73 (I see this as a big resistance + bunch of stop losses above)
Went through the (hole whole VA of the last 10-day range.
Balancing on the low. Since there is quite thin volume below 142,48 I expect a couple bounces off that level before we get lower. It all depends on the open and acceptance/rejection tomorrow.
We are going up and down in one big range around long timeframe VPOC so we might spend some more time there before the market decides whether to go back up or back down. So, buy unfair lows and sell unfair highs, though we still might get a bit higher tomorrow.