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Looking for continuation higher off this TL and shelf area. We should see a good pop once the short term downtrend channel formed at the beginning of this month is breached to the upside.
Alternative scenario would be to see the longer term up channel since last July be breached to short side, in which case we should see accelerated downward move and a retest of January low's come quickly (1.3000).
Here are the Barrier Options that are expiring in the Spot market at the 10:00 AM NY Cut today, 2/26/2013.
The Barrier Defense Zones will be a 30 pip (tick) boundary layer 30 pips away from the Barrier Option. That's where the Barrier Defenders will start to try pushing price away from the Barrier Price. They're trying to avoid a Barrier Event that will make their Option expire worthless.
The Euro is ready for a long in the next 10 days. The pair is currently undergoing a nice and long correction which is either the second half of the 80 Day Cycle or the end of a 40 day cycle. Either way there is a good trade setting up that could quite possibly be a long out of the 40 week trough.
Of course this may mean that confirmation will be hazy but with the FLD interaction that we expect, it is more than likely going to be a smooth break for the long transaction. I personally dont think this trade will be available until first of second week of March.
We will have to see what commonality the pair exhibits as stocks make their way into a major trough over the next couple of weeks/months.
If anyone trades with Hurst or is interested in Hurst please PM me.
Additionally one can see that EURUSD seems to respect the 40 Day FLD as a trend change confirming tool.
A trade with less transaction risk as Hurst termed it would be to wait for the 40 Day FLD break to the upside. However that would entail a larger potential risk and probably less profit potential.
Just for the record, I got a reply from NT and IB.
IB admitted to the bad ticks and carry the can for it. It's actually a bad minimum bid daily bar tick. IB told me to put on the bad tick filter to get rid of it.
NT7 take the bid ticks and use them as Last ticks in their historical data manager module.
It exonerates NT7 at least, although I wish they had a better way of dealing with it. @Xav1029, your 1440-min daily bars is still however the best work-around.
You can discover what your enemy fears most by observing the means he uses to frighten you.