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Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra


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  #11 (permalink)
 
DavidHP's Avatar
 DavidHP 
Isla Mujeres, MX
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HumbleTrader View Post
Yesterday was a good example. Odds were overwhelmingly bullish. 68% Win rate with a profit factor of 2.6 when we open Up with a huge gap. It was definitely hard to go long @ RTH open and even harder to hold on to it until the close. I managed it, by refusing to look at the screen. The result was beautiful and I captured almost 70% of daily ATR with minimal fuss. To use the quote by legendary late Mark Douglas, 'There is nothing to think about'. You just execute your plan.

Thanks for the post.
I agree, without participation of other traders the thread will be worthless to most. That is why I hope to get other traders, (especially new traders) to post. The purpose here is not to criticize but to help.

My dad once told me: "A problem shared is halved, A joy shared is doubled" I hope we can share both here.


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  #12 (permalink)
 
DavidHP's Avatar
 DavidHP 
Isla Mujeres, MX
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Experience: Advanced
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Nov 11 News:

The U.S. bond market is closed on Veterans Day, Tuesday, November 11, 2025.

This is in contrast to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq, which are open for normal trading hours.


Rejoice in the Thunderstorms of Life . . .
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  #13 (permalink)
 
DavidHP's Avatar
 DavidHP 
Isla Mujeres, MX
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Ai Trading?

A member from one of the forums I frequent posted a trade they were taking yesterday. It was from a question they submitted to an AI Bot. Remarkably the trade was very successful.

Have any of you used an AI Bot for trading advice?

I have used Grok and ChatGPT to help created indicators. I was amazed of the results. (modifications were needed but the logic was sound). I've never asked it for a game plan for today but this person did yesterday and also posted another plan for today. It will be interesting to see how the results are today.

As usual, I am skeptical but ???


Rejoice in the Thunderstorms of Life . . .
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  #14 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
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AI trading by ChatGPT and such have very little chance of being successfull just by the nature of those A"I" agents based on LLM ( Large Language Models).
That being said there is sound way to use MachineLearning to create and even train Computational Models using a plethora of data available that will be very successfull in the short and long term.
Such an example was already established. So it is a matter of applying proper tools on proper instrument using modern computational approach.


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  #15 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
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𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀

• Even without emotions, biases remain — AIs reflect the objectives and assumptions we build into them. “Emotionless” ≠ “error-free.”
• Regime dependency is critical. Trend-following agents outperformed early, but mean-reversion and high-frequency AIs suffered during chop.
• Volatility exposure and cost drag mattered more than entry logic. Frequent trades eroded edge.
• Manager selection risk among AIs is very real — the gap between the best and worst performer was over 85% of initial capital.

𝗧𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆𝘀

• Treat AI traders as professional managers, not “black boxes.” Demand live visibility, control parameters, and auditable decision logs.
• Use tiered capital deployment and kill-switch thresholds to manage risk dynamically.
• Build diversified AI portfolios across independent strategies and market regimes.

AI trading isn’t about removing emotions — it’s about translating human decision logic into code and then managing it like any other professional manager.

Over this short experiment, only 2 of 6 AIs finished profitable, while most underperformed a simple BTC hold. The real edge, as always, lies in discipline, governance, and portfolio design — not hype.


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  #16 (permalink)
 
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 DavidHP 
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kazbek966 View Post
Over this short experiment, only 2 of 6 AIs finished profitable, while most underperformed a simple BTC hold. The real edge, as always, lies in discipline, governance, and portfolio design — not hype.

Interesting.
Lot of traders are enamored by Ai and assume because it can give quick answers, they assume it can "think"
In reality, quick answers are not always wise answers. LOL
And the AiBot has no risk, if the trade works, Great, if it does not, recalculate and try again until the user has blown up the account.


Rejoice in the Thunderstorms of Life . . .
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But Learning to Dance in the Rain ! ! !
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  #17 (permalink)
 
DavidHP's Avatar
 DavidHP 
Isla Mujeres, MX
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Experience: Advanced
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Broker: Ninjatrader / Optimus Futures / AmpFutures
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Yesterday's trade recap:
LOL The joy's of living on an island controlled by people that don't trade.
Trades



I spent the day washing windows on the beach side and drinking coffee.
From the look of charts today, I did not miss much.


Rejoice in the Thunderstorms of Life . . .
Knowing it's not about Clouds or Wind. . .
But Learning to Dance in the Rain ! ! !
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  #18 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
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DavidHP View Post
Yesterday's trade recap:
LOL The joy's of living on an island controlled by people that don't trade.
Trades



I spent the day washing windows on the beach side and drinking coffee.
From the look of charts today, I did not miss much.

You did not miss much , all we are doing is dancing around MOnday opening 5 min range. With no economic news being released
we are in a funny territory. I wud think we need to take last 3 days lows and push up a bit. Thats how Smart Money afficionados would frame it.
But lets wait for open 5 min and action around 9:45-10:15 NYT.



Though with all the development in solar power and StarLink I think Power Outage sounds more like excuse to go to the beach. Again ...


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  #19 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
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  #20 (permalink)
 kazbek966 
Turku , Finland
 
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