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Yesterday how i expect was sideway day with small negative side
Major news, releases
Core reatil sales 0,9(0,5)
Jobless claims 218k(223k)
Pre market plan
Description: Main idea base on yesterday VPOC will be like resistance
Scenario1: Will be like first hour pattern do new high of day BUT cant hold under VPOC yesterday area and after go slow-slow down
Sceanrio2: Price broke VPOC and hold. Look this area like on support
Day mission: ONE GOOD TRADE
Post market view
It was a very strong and powerful day!
Main facts
Description:- NQ was much stronger then other market
- "HARD BUY" day pattern with huge gap
- Very important day for continue higher market
- 7308 key price
HAPPY FRIDAY! Today good soccer game Portugal-Spain #WorldCup2018
Main news,releases
Trump continue "trading war" with China Today accept same rule aboot it
In totaly today we have Friday with negative fundamental
Pre market plan
Description: Main my idea it Long based on technical info
Scenario1: False breakout new day low and momentum reaction with enogh volume and price came back to open price. Look reaction around 7260-7270
Scenario2: Market open with fast momentum and go up with out any PB to new low. In this case look same delta pattern
Scenario3: Price go down and hold above 7265 with good sell limit players Look to continue down to close GAP
Positive moment:
- Trading begins to be formed step by step algorithm
- During this week i do two good trades
- Pre market idea start be for me more clear and correct
Negative momemnt:
- Time to time my trade was with out any pattern
- Was one bad trade when i broke rule "Don`t trade at first 15 min"
- Was two trade from VWAP with out any delta confirmation
- Two days was Overtrading days! (Win ratio is poor partly because of this problem)
Summary:
- Trade your scenario+playbook pattern;
- Add more and more discipline during trading;
- Sit on hand and wait clear situation;
- Continue work under scenario;
- Continue to improve quality Pre market idea and market view;
Best and worst trade
1. Few trades was good but not best! Good trades based on pre market plan + delta confirmation;
2. Worst trades was when i try do same trade and thing "Now leaves without me"
Weeky market view
Decription:
- It was very good and step by step week for continue long move;
- Price more based on VOL support then on price support
- All fundamental US economic releases was very good and stronger then expected
Describtion:
1. Second gap down day;
2. Monday red gap in stat it "GAP and GO" day;
Main my idea it short
Scenario1: PB to 7240-7250 area and go down; Find same seller around VWAP area or strong sell limit;
Scenario2: Market is not ready go down and will be slow-slow go UP. In this case i will be out of the market or wait important area from previus week 7270.
Day mission: One good trade
Post market view
It was a good step by step day! But i do one mistake((
Main fact
Description:
- It was day of "smart money" or same hadge fond buy day. Very strong and good buy on each PB.
- "New Low and GO" day pattern
Interest moment
Description: Strong buy above ON_Low and create support area under ON_Low
Description: On NQ was very clear picture but im not see place for buy and hold!
And do one big mistake!!! Im not trade what im not prepare(( But i do two trade on ES((
Major news, releases
1. Main focus on "Trade war" with China. Asia session sell off based on news what Trump want add goods to list.
2. Bulding permits 1,3 (1,35)
Fundamental day is negative
Description: Huge gap down on open. But we stay now in good place for support area
My main idea it long in first 1 hour or 30 minutes.
Scenario1: On opening we go down BUT not do new low. Im look important area (Active zone) around 7170.
Scenario2. We go up with out good buyers support and find same seller with good limit players or huge market orders. Look 7200 on TS+Delta.
Sell off scenario will be based only on 7170, 7150 and delta signal.
Description:
- "New low and GO" day pattern;
- Buyers show what they are to strong and in next future long side it better side;
- My "Active zone" work)
Description: I have two main problem:
1. Very offen im close my position to erly;
2. In my Pre market plan i have 7270 is suport BUT in fact i try to sell (
Day mission: FAIL
P.S. First trade was realy "One good trade" but it must be minimum profit 40t.
Yesterday im not trade and today i must be very careful
Major news, releases
Same negative fundament around global economic
Pre market plan
Description: For today i have 3 main area 7270,7310 an 7320
Scenario1: Price PB to support area 7270 and find same buyers in this area
Scenario2: Without any PB price go higher and i will look reaction on 7310-7320 area
Day mission: Green day
Post market view
Good short day, market show me what they go continue lower. And i gave same error with my exit
Main facts
Description:
- VOL and Delata is on power for continue lower;
- VOL Profile don`t interest and don`t have same interest area;
-7270 key price for continue;
OPEC Meeting can give short volatility period on stock market
Pre market plan
Description: Main area for today it 7270
Scenario1: Price go higher and do new high and in this area under ON_High i will be look place for short
Scenario2: Price open with sideway and slow slow go up. For Long signal i wil be look same strong buyers support around VWAP or ON_High
Day mission: UP my profit avarage trade more then 20 ticks
Post market view
It was tradig day without trade)
Main fact
Description:
- My scenario1 work well BUT for me price after opening fall to fast without any chance to enter for me;
- Buyers try take control;
Positive moment:
- Work under discipline and stupid trades on this week was much much less!!;
- Playbook trades around 60-70% it also good;
- Work under "First hour scenario" and "Day scenario";
Negative moment:
- During this week was two stupid trades on ES! Im not trade ES at this time;
- MAIN PROBLEM!! EXIT FROM TRADE STRATAGY!!
Summery:
- Start do my profit possible statistic and modern if it need my Money managment;
- Continue work under discilpline and scenario plan;
- Work undeer test IRT volume/second and trades/second;
- Prepare stistic volume correlation NQ&ES;
BEST & WORST TRADES
Worst trade:
Description: Great example when i have problem with exit stratagy!
Weekly market view
Description:
- Market in range condition;
- Main area around for next week 7270;