nomansland

20250512 pre market



News
trade talks between us and china were positive

Condition 1 and 0
Very huge gap out of balance area
market opens 3% higher
oni very long

Thoughts
I do not follow large gaps early
large gaps often suck the life out of trade
Do not sit on the flagpole
wait for some balancing of inventory = liquidation

20250513 pre market



News
cpi came out
09:45 trump talks

Condition 1
daily is exploring higher
> do not go against

Condition 0
open with small gap up

Thoughts

20250514 pre market



News
10:30 crude inventories

Condition 1
otf up /price exploring

Condition 0
We open in y belly

Thoughts
As we are a bit overextended/overbought it gets more and more risky to sit in longs
Wait for some liquidation before you look for longs

20250515 pre market



News
1000 numbers
1300 numbers
1400 feds barr

Condiiton 1
otf up / price exploring
yesterday inside day (which is a sign of balance)

Condition 0
open near y low after having been lower

Thoughts
The edges of the inside day are good milestones to judge what the markets wants to do
- shake out a few longs and continue higher?
- build a balance area?
- ...

20250516 pre market



News
1000 MIchigan numbers

Condition 1
otf up / price exploring

Condition 0
We open with small gap up

Thoughts
Market is a bit overextended
There will be better opportunities after we have seen a liquidation and have a defined balance area
Do not anticipate a liquidation, wait until it happens
Do not sit in longs

20250519 pre market



News
10:00 numbers
13:30 feds kashkari


Condition 1
otf up
todays gap down brings the market in balance

Condition 0
Big gap down after rating downgrade

Thoughts
We are in a strong up-market
The actual development will shake out some poor located longs
Lets see if it does more (or not)

Judge the market in relation to reference levels/millestones
If there were any serious selling after a gap down the market should not go through the previous low that easy like it did today

20250520 pre market



News
09:30 feds collin
11:55 trump
13:00 wh press sec
13:00 feds musalem

Condition 1
market is exploring higher

Condition 0
open in y belly
> expect chop

Thoughts
I see yesterdays last 6 tpos and eth as one belly
Expect chop inside
Edges are interesting

20250527 pre market



News
10:00 numbers
11:30 numbers

Condition 1
10 day balance area
On friday we tested the downside but (for now) failed

Condition 0
i ignore yesterday
we open with a big gap up

Thoughts
If we hold these prices this is a look below balance and fail (which is bullish)
As we are already in the middle of that balance area we could see chop