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This week, i could not do much...and one mistake. Basically i was afraid of losing money in high volatile bars, can not say why this fear crept in. In second trade i become overly optimistic about upside and didn't give away till it cost me with loss equal to MFE on that trade, some 18-19 points. Post development of 2nd trade , infused feeling of missout, but they really were not as per methodology. I could not think of going short solely even on momentum basis, it became a state of paralysis. I could not think of going short after a 100 point fall from top on that day which gone to 250 point approx from top.
3rd and 4th trade are moderate winner as per methodology , could survive again this week with gains.
Current Prices are on higher value side from last 3,4,5,6 and 7 days cluster.
This dynamic does not change on bar basis rather it changed on day. So if change is eventual than
dipping towards lower value side is worth high reward.
Opening and Last day closing are in sync with premise of short, only thing new developed is appearance of 2nd SD that seems obvious to hold the price once more in region. Logically i scale out with 6090-95 level in mind, till that time trend might also come in action.
Seems to be penetrating the lower 2nd SD zone and on my way towards last week driveWAP of 6095.
Current prices are in middle of 5 and 6 day value above vwap but reaching to lower value side in 4 day value ( not shown in figure ) , so down ride may not be smooth, lets see how it spans next day.
Higher Opening pushed me to exit shorts with small profit,
action seems resuming long side, but still i am not convinced mainly cause
of clear development in between balances. Though i am forced to take long
without my personal feeling, atleast to take a low risk long is my first choice.
From my chart , i will be in 6141-42 with stop as low as 6114 and target for 6230.
Ok, Its now in and some convincing action seems to me.
Its very clear from chart where my stop should be headed higher from 6114 now,
but much of my action about this depends on Opening Price location of Monday
with respect to today's development.