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I was stopped out of my Lean Hogs position for a small loss today.
HE – Lean Hogs
Trade: Short 1 contract of August Lean Hogs
Entry Price: $0.7780
Exit Price: $0.8825
Trade Grade: 2/5
Trade Comment: At this stage it looks as though the Stop was a fraction too tight.
Daily Comment: Hogs opened higher today taking out my Stop before reversing to finish the day lower. I will wait for further price weakness and a break of the 61.8% retracement of the recent uptrend before attempting to re-enter.
Below are my comments on the opportunities I’m watching based on the day’s price action.
HG – Copper
Copper was higher again today surpassing the 61.8% retracement of the recent range. Price finished off the highs posting a candle with an upper shadow. After the break in the overnight session I entered a buy order below the market for the day session but my order was not triggered.
ZS – Soybeans
Soybeans rallied up to the 61.8% retracement of the corrective move today and closed back above the 40 SMA. If prices can surpass the 61.8% retracement level I may look to enter a Long position.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Below are my comments on the opportunities I’m watching based on the day’s price action.
HE – Lean Hogs
Daily Comment: Hogs traded in a small range today both higher and lower but finished the day slightly lower. Prices are still holding above the 61.8% retracement of the recent range.
HG – Copper
Copper traded in a small range today posting an indecisive doji candle. My order was very close to being triggered in the overnight session but at this stage I’m still not on board.
ZS – Soybeans
Soybeans rallied up to the 61.8% retracement of the corrective move again today before reversing sharply to post a bearish full bodied candle.
One small anticipatory trade in Lean Hogs this week which was quickly stopped out for a loss.
The opportunities I am currently watching are below.
ZS – Soybeans
New crop Soybeans rallied back up to the 61.8% retracement of the corrective range early in the week before reversing sharply to finish the week practically unchanged.
HE – Lean Hogs
Hogs started the week lower before rallying back up towards the falling 200 SMA in the middle week and then turned lower again to finish the week down at the 61.8% retracement of the recent range.
KC – Coffee
Coffee rallied up to the 161.8% extension of the recent range early in the week but struggled to hold this level to finish the week.
CT – Cotton
Cotton exploded higher this week quickly surpassing both the 161.8% and 261.8% extensions of the recent range before pausing at the 75 level.
SB – Sugar
Sugar continued to correct this week trading down towards the 40 SMA. Sugar might be a good buy at this level.
GC – Gold
Gold paused at the 161.8% extension level at the start of the week correcting back down to the 20 SMA.
HG – Copper
Copper broke strongly through the 200 SMA at the start of the week and broke through the top of the wedge before pausing. If prices can exceed the March highs Copper will look very bullish.
CL – Crude Oil
Oil traded in a small range this week between the 100 and 200 SMA’s. Prices are now in between the rising 100 SMA and the falling short term moving averages. I suspect that a break above or below one of these moving averages will provide clues to the next move for Oil.
NG – Natural Gas
Natural Gas continued lower this week but was well supported at the 2.70 level. The 40 SMA is breaking through the 200 SMA and may provide a good level to enter the long side when prices first intersect with the 40 SMA.
DX – US Dollar Index
The US Dollar was lower early in the week but finish the week strongly to close practically unchanged. Prices are still be held up at the 200 SMA and break of this level may provide an entry opportunity on the long side.
I entered a Long position in Copper and Short position in Lean Hogs today.
Finished the day with a small gain with gains in Copper offset by losses in Hogs.
Below are my comments on my open positions based on the day’s price action.
HE – Lean Hogs
Trade: Short 1 contract of August Lean Hogs
Entry Price: $0.77525
Risk: $0.7965 risking $850
Target: $0.60
Reasons for entering the trade:
Technical: Prices penetrated the 61.8% retracement of the recent uptrend.
Fundamental: Herd expansion with ample supply is pushing prices down.
Daily Comment: Prices were lower today trading down through the 61.8% retracement of the recent uptrend but finished the day off the lows posting a candle with a lower shadow.
HG – Copper
Trade: Long 1 contract of September Copper
Entry Price: $2.22
Risk: $2.195 risking $625
Target: $2.52
Reasons for entering the trade:
Technical: Prices have broken through the 61.8% retracement of the recent range and broken out of the top of the wedge formation.
Daily Comment: Copper traded back down to the 61.8% retracement of the recent range during the overnight session but bounced from this level to finish the day higher closing back above the top of the wedge and closing at the high.
Below are my comments on the opportunities I’m watching based on the day’s price action.
SB – Sugar
Sugar paused at the 40 SMA today posting an indecisive doji candle.
A flay day with gains in Hogs offset by losses in Copper.
Below are my comments on my open positions based on the day’s price action.
HE – Lean Hogs
Trade: Short 1 contract of August Lean Hogs
Entry Price: $0.77525
Risk: $0.7965 risking $850
Target: $0.58
Daily Comment: Hogs rallied back up to the 61.8% retracement level today before reversing strongly from this level to finish the day lower and post another bearish candle.
HG – Copper
Trade: Long 1 contract of September Copper
Entry Price: $2.22
Risk: $2.195 risking $625
Target: $2.52
Daily Comment: Copper was lower today re-testing the top boundary line but bounced from this to finish the day off the lows and post a candle with a lower shadow.
Below are my comments on the opportunities I’m watching based on the day’s price action.
SB – Sugar
Sugar was slighter lower again today but held the 40 SMA.
DX – US Dollar Index
The dollar continued higher today trading up to the 61.8% retracement of the recent range but finished off the highs posting a candle with a small upper shadow.
NG – Natural Gas
Natural Gas was sharply lower today trading back towards the 40 SMA.
Below are my comments on my open positions based on the day’s price action.
HE – Lean Hogs
Trade: Short 1 contract of August Lean Hogs
Entry Price: $0.77525
Risk: $0.7965 risking $850
Target: $0.58
Daily Comment: Hogs continued their downward momentum posting another bearish full bodied candle.
HG – Copper
Trade: Long 1 contract of September Copper
Entry Price: $2.22
Risk: $2.195 risking $625
Target: $2.52
Daily Comment: Copper tried to break higher again today but continues to run into resistance around the 2.28 level finishing off the highs and posting a candle with an upper shadow.
