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Daily TPO homework for DAX and NQ


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Daily TPO homework for DAX and NQ

  #131 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
Posts: 644 since Dec 2016
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The ES is also playing to the game of Wolfe.

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  #132 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
Posts: 644 since Dec 2016
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Today is a rotational day, that is why there are rotational trades from both sides.
I am picking up trades from both long and shorts based on the TICK divergence.
Too bad that Eurex does not have TICK for DAX.

Time to call off the day.

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  #133 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
Posts: 644 since Dec 2016
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ES has filled gap we have called yesterday and found reaction precisely from the VAH of this Monday.
IN the meantime, YM has found support at the VPOC of this Monday. ES and YM's price action are highly correlated, when one is testing a significant technical level, the other one would be testing another crucial technical level. While the NQ can just be doing its own things without being in line with the other two. That is the reason why I have decided to drop NQ in order to focus my attention on trading ES and YM.

The Globex session has completed a consolidation pattern. It felt to me that the ES is ready to trade higher so long as yesterday's low are not taken out. By looking at the 60 min chart, we can see that the ES is consoldiating above the resistance it has broken out of early this week. It makes sense to retest this level and consolidate first before another leg higher.

My primal scenario for the day is open test and drive -- have an counter auction to the overnight inventory before shooting higher.
Another scenario is to open test drive and failure that it would rotate a bit more to build value here before a decisive break out some time next week.
Let's see which scenario is going to play out here.

Tactically, I am still going to use the TICK divergence, possibly combined with Wolfe wave pattern, to enter in a long trade some where below 2690 level.
As you might have noticed that the Wolfe wave pattern were working out very effectively yesterday and the day before. Let's see whether it can continue its performance today or not. My sense is it still can as it always do.

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  #134 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
Posts: 644 since Dec 2016
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Open test drive scenario negated. It has developed into an open test and failure pattern.
After the failed test, market is in a full liquidation mode.
Especially the dow.

Es is expected to test monday's VPOC.

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  #135 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
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TICK divergence.
Watch the long setups.

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  #136 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
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Buy setup failed.
Market is too weak. Buyers can't hold the market up.

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  #137 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
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Who can tell me what is in the news so that we are having such a full liquidation market?

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  #138 (permalink)
 
gisot's Avatar
 gisot 
Milan, Italy
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TWS
Trading: ES, Stocks
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Minutes
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maybe it is due to SPX option day liquidation .... maybe.

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  #139 (permalink)
 shrekchenbin 
UTRECHT/The Netherlands
 
Posts: 644 since Dec 2016
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Long and stretched selling profile.
Looking at the TPO hole just below yesterday's value low.
Looking for a TPO hole filling price action in the second half of NY session. And expect a rejection from yesterday's VAL.

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  #140 (permalink)
 
gisot's Avatar
 gisot 
Milan, Italy
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, TWS
Trading: ES, Stocks
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 278 since Jan 2012
Thanks Given: 385
Thanks Received: 178



guidoisot View Post
maybe it is due to SPX option day liquidation .... maybe.

and interest rates seem to be resuming their rise, ... not good for equities, not good for the huge debt, not good for banks

https://www.tradingview.com/x/L3E9uppr/

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