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1% Risk Journal

  #11 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Posting My trading Metrics from Friday along with statements.

Keeping risk constant has already highlighted some of my strengths and weaknesses as a trader.
Statement 216 NT

This second image is what passive investing 500$ a month for 30 Years with 12% returns would look like. I attach this with my statement because my account is starting with 1,000$ usd and I will be contributing 500$ a month to it, while never risking more than 1% on any trade.
Investment Balance


Preformance 216


Preformance 2 216

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  #12 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

TRADING WHY



Trading Style : Day Trader.

Trading Market: S&P 500 Futures /MES & /ES &/EWF.

Trading Risk: Never exceed 1% risk on any individual trade.

Trading Time: 9 AM CST- 3 PM CST.

Trading Charts: 2 Minute Chart/1 Hour Chart/ Daily Chart.

Trading Indicators: TICK Index,10&200 SMA,RSI (2),ATR( 6)

(These Indicators allow me to establish what way the market is trending and enter on pullbacks)



Why do I day trade S&P 500 futures?

I day trade S&P 500 futures because I am a disciplined man.

I day trade S&P 500 futures because I am a provider of financial freedom to myself and my family.

I day trade S&P 500 futures to leave a legacy of greatness and perseverance Acro Shivers.



If you don't bet, you can't win.

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  #13 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391


Trader Performance 2/20/2024
Total Net Profit: (-$40.00)-32 Ticks
Gross Profit: $0.00/0 Ticks
Gross Loss: ($40.00)/-32 Ticks
Profit Factor: 0.00
Max Drawdown: -32 Ticks
Sharpe Ratio: -8.98
Sortino Ratio: -2.79
Ulcer Index: 0.00
Probability: 100.00
Total # of Trades: 4
Percent Profitable: 0.00%
# of winning trades: 0
# of losing trades:4
# of even trades :0
Avg Trade: -8 Ticks
Avg Winning Trade:0 Tick
Avg Losing Trade: -8 Ticks
Ratio Avg. win/avg loss: 0.00
Max Consecutive Winners: 0
Max Consecutive Losers:4
Largest Winning Trade: 0 Tick
Largest Losing Trade: 8 Ticks
Avg # of trades per day: 5.79
Avg Time in Market: 11.16
Profit Per Month: -976 Ticks
Max Time to recover: 0.17 Days
Longest Flat Period: 104.79 Min
Avg MAE: 8 TICKS
Avg MFE: 9 TICKS
Avg ETD: 17 TICKS

Today presented some great downside set-ups, I cam into today trading a bit of a long bias. That proved ineffective, I switched to the short side while maintaining my 1% risk model, I was stopped out at the high tick of that move and then the market fell 52 ticks in the direction I was expecting. That's trading sometimes though so nothing for me to complain about. I followed all my rules (haha only 1 rule NEVER risk more than 1%). But this professional approach to trading and journaling really helps keep my trading performance in perspective.
Feb 20 ES

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  #14 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Red day overall 1% rule still in place!
22024 Statement


220241


220242


Investment Balance

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  #15 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Making a few Risk Adjustments
Going to a 1 Minute Chart from a 2 Minute
Cutting my Risk from 8 Ticks to 4 Ticks
Read the Bruce Kovner interview in market wizards he stated "whatever you think you should be risking, cut it in half"

It makes me think of something that I say to myself often: "Trades that work,work" all of my winning trades pretty much start as winners so I don't need to give my losing trades "room" to work.



If you don't bet, you can't win.

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  #16 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Trader Performance 2/21/2024
Total Net Profit: (-$7.50)-6 Ticks
Gross Profit: $27.50/220Ticks
Gross Loss: ($35.00)/-28 Ticks
Profit Factor: 0.79
Max Drawdown: -28 Ticks
Sharpe Ratio: -9.15
Sortino Ratio: -30.36
Ulcer Index: 0.00
Probability: 59.93
Total # of Trades: 7
Percent Profitable: 14.29%
# of winning trades: 1
# of losing trades:6
# of even trades :0
Avg Trade: -1 Ticks
Avg Winning Trade:+22 Tick
Avg Losing Trade: -5 Ticks
Ratio Avg. win/avg loss: 4.71
Max Consecutive Winners: 6
Max Consecutive Losers:1
Largest Winning Trade:+22 Tick
Largest Losing Trade: -8 Ticks
Avg # of trades per day: 10.14
Avg Time in Market: 2.58
Profit Per Month: -183 Ticks
Max Time to recover: 0.18 Days
Longest Flat Period: 171.00 Min
Avg MAE: 4 TICKS
Avg MFE: 8 TICKS
Avg ETD: 9 TICKS

Today I really started to get a firm grip on what RISK really is, and how to apply a risk per trade metric that won't put me on tilt. I cut my risk in half too 4 ticks (previously 8ticks) I watch the 30 second chart/30 Minute chart & a Daily chart and at minimum I want my wining trades 5 times larger than my losing trades. A very productive day for me today in learning what type of risk profile will not create too many emotions for me so I wont be able to trade effectively
Feb 21 ES 30 Second

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  #17 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Statement & Visuals from Feb 21 Trading
Feb 21 Statement


Feb 21 stats


Feb 21 stats 2


Feb 21 stats 3

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  #18 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Trader Performance 2/22/2024
Total Net Profit: (+$15.00)+3 Points
Gross Profit: $40.00/+8 Points
Gross Loss: (-$25.00)/-5 Points
Profit Factor: 1.60
Max Drawdown: -3 Points
Sharpe Ratio: +9.28
Sortino Ratio: +1.00
Ulcer Index: 0.00
Probability: 26.67%
Total # of Trades: 8
Percent Profitable: 37.50%
# of winning trades: 3
# of losing trades:5
# of even trades :0
Avg Trade: +0.35 Points
Avg Winning Trade:+2.6 Points
Avg Losing Trade: -1 Point
Ratio Avg. win/avg loss: 2.67
Max Consecutive Winners: 2
Max Consecutive Losers:3
Largest Winning Trade:+3.25 Points
Largest Losing Trade: -1 Point
Avg # of trades per day: 11.59
Avg Time in Market: 1.21
Profit Per Month: +91.5 Points
Max Time to recover: 0.09 Days
Longest Flat Period: 135.56 Min
Avg MAE: 0.75 Points
Avg MFE: 1.59 Points
Avg ETD: 1.21 Points

Today was good I am really getting comfortable with taking small losses, it is great for building my discipline as a trader and more importantly it REMOVES HOPE from my trading which is the most dangerous part of trading in my opinion.
Feb 22 Trades


Feb 22 Trades 2


Feb 22 Trades 3

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  #19 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391

Trading Statement and Performance
Feb 22 Statement


Feb 22 Stats


Feb 22 Stats 2


Feb 22 Stats 3

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  #20 (permalink)
 
DowDaddy's Avatar
 DowDaddy 
Las Vegas
 
Experience: Master
Platform: Ninja
Broker: Ninja Trader Brokerage
Trading: Dow Futures
Posts: 393 since Oct 2021
Thanks Given: 749
Thanks Received: 391


Been analyzing my preformance on MES this week and I am in the belief that MNQ may offer more trading opportunities for my trading style which I can finally succinctly define in a sentence Lol
I asked Chat GPT the benefits of tight stops and I could not agree more especially with Number 7

If you don't bet, you can't win.

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Last Updated on March 25, 2024


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