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Hello, i build a strategy with ES mini, I test it in simulted mode and the entrys work fine. But i have doubts before use in real time and need advices for check weak points. I see the graph good but maybe i have dont see something what experts can see bad.
- I backtest with mode merged back adjusted, but i backtest too in merged non back adjusted and dont change much in the results.
- I wish trade (1) ES mini, the drawdown of 18.000$, in the experiencie, can be supportable or it is too much for 1 Es mini ?
- The time for recover is 328 days, in the experiencie, can be normal for a strategy 15 min ?
- I adjust 6 paramethers for this results, included open and close time. It is too many parameters for a simple strategy?
- For expert eyes the result of strategy look good o have many weak points ?
Please I need advices for read and apply correctly backtest.
No, my strategy is in bar of 15min but with daily indicator, i try use a lot of years and lot of trades, only for feel the strategy can not change easily. But i not sure to start in real account.
For that reason i need advices of the experts eyes, maybe you can see something wrong and i dont see.
$0 slippage, and lack of any out of sample results make this strategy a non-starter for me.
I can almost guarantee that if you only traded this strategy, you'd never be able to survive the 328 day drawdown period. (Conversely, in a portfolio, you might be able to accept that).