20250630 pre market



News
0945 pmi
1000 feds bostic
1300 wh press briefing

Condition 1
price exploring
otf up

Condition 0
open with small gap up

Thoughts
We are a bit on the flagpole with inventory getting longer and longer
Shortened week
Any news (tariff, etc) can shake things around

20250630 recap



Quiet day
Active on both sides
Unlucky with targets

20250701 pre market



News
09:30 Powell
09:45 Numbers
10:00 ISM
10:00 jolts

Condition 1
otf up
price exploring

Condition 0
open im middle of range
>trade later

Thoughts
i will wait until 10:00 before i trade

20250701 recap



Market had attempts but was not able to get the weak low
This makes it weaker for tomorrow

20250702 pre market



News
10:30 crude

Condition 1
Flagpole with 2 day balance
Yesterday inside day

Condition 0
open im middle of 2 day balance
> trade later

Thoughts
Balance rules apply
Do not expect too much before the long weekend

20250702 recap



It is summertime and we are grinding higher on all time highs (in the cash markets)


It looked like we could liquidate a bit but anticipating liquidations is a bad idea
As sitting in long positions in this location is also a bad idea i would summarize:

Opportunity is low in the moment

20250707 pre market




News
-

Condition 1
otf up
flagpole

Condition 0
open in thursdays range

Thoughts
nothing has changed
we are in a low opportunity environment
Sitting in longs is dangerous because we already moved. If at all, then after a liquidation
Anticipating liquidations is a loosers game
Following liquidations (that already run) is difficult because they are often short lived. It only makes sense if it seems to be a larger liquidation

We never know what come, so lets see, but do not expect much

High opportunites will come back sooner or later

20250707 recap



They liquidated extreme soft even with that tariff news
MIssed my target at last weeks vpoc by a tick or two

20250708 pre market



News
11:00 inflation numbers
13:00 bond auction

Condition 1
otf up is broken
starting to balance on the daily

Condition 0
open at y mid
>trader later

Thoughts
For now it lloks like we get an orderly healthy balance area

20250708 recap