20250806 recap



We opened and had some problems to go higher
I shorted for a liquidation to onl (did not work)
Short for neutral day did not work
So we consequently grinded higher
This is the situation in which BASHADI allows overnight positions:
After a ahake out on the daily below a balance area

20250807 pre market



News
10:00 feds bostic

Condition 1
For nowthe liquidation/dip gets boughts

Condition 0
Open with gap up
oni is long
open in upper third of onr

Thoughts
We open in the meat of the balance area so the easy move is done
Perhaps we ge an opportunity after some overnight inventory balancing

20250807 recap



I tried to buy after some liquidation
As they sold off the gap i switched to short for a few scalps

Formally we are otf up on the daily
But the market has a hard time to go higher

Looks like a market that is full of short term traders which go in and out, in and out
In addition we are still in a very newsy environment
Definetively not a time to sit in positions but to go for smaller scalps

20250808 pre market



News
10:20 feds musalem

Condition 1
zig zag grinding higher

Condition 0
we open in middle of range
> trade later

Thoughts
Expect early chop
Trade later (if at all)

20250808 recap



two scalps long
the short was a clicking mistake

20250813 pre market



News
10:30 crude
11:15 trump !!
13:00 fed speaker
13:30 fed speaker

Condition 1
Trying to breakout of 2 balance areas
otf up on the daily

Condition 0
open with small to medium gap up
open at the top of the onr

Thoughts
As long as this market does not break the otf on the daily it is very bullish
There is no reason to short
If it runs, look for a scalp
If we see a liquidation, look if its buyable (in this case wait for it to be finished)

I will leave early to today so i have no danger to be involved in trump vola :-)

20250813 recap



Took the first pullback after we took out the onh
Have to leave early for an appointment

20250814 pre market



News
we had ppi
13:00 trump

Condition 1
trying to break out of balance areas
otf up could break with gap down today

Condition 0
open with gap down near y l after ppi numbers

Thoughts
As always judge market behaviour in relation to milestones
yesterdays range
old ath = balance area h
I would need to see clear acceptance and strong selling below these milestones to think about a short bias
Testing a bit lower and then failing to continue lower would be a better scenario to trade
We are in a bullish market

Sweetspot Trader 

I tried to buy after some liquidation. As they sold off the gap i switched to short for a few scalps. Formally we are otf up on the daily. But the market has a hard time to go higher. Looks like a market that is full of short term traders which go in and out, in and out. In addition we are still in a very newsy environment. Definetively not a time to sit in positions but to go for smaller scalps.

@Sweetspot Trader,

Your systematic approach to balance area breakouts shows disciplined preparation. Trading from Frankfurt gives you an interesting perspective - watching European markets close as US momentum builds in the afternoon session.

Your emphasis on "judging market behavior in relation to milestones" reflects professional thinking. The distinction between testing lower versus accepting lower is crucial for avoiding false breakouts. Many traders miss this nuance and get caught fading moves that haven't actually failed yet.

Regarding your OTF (One Time Framing) analysis on the daily, have you noticed how the character of breakouts changes when European volume drops off after your local close around 17:30 CET? The MES often shows different dynamics in that final US session hour.

Smart move avoiding the Trump volatility - scheduled news events with unknown directional bias are often better observed than traded. How do you typically handle overnight gaps when returning to your charts the next Frankfurt morning?

-- Fi
"There is no spoon."

20250814 recap


bought it early as described in pre market post