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2023 Rabbit
Updated December 28, 2023
2023 Rabbit
July 27th, 2023, 04:13 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
call premiums collected, turndown. energy is wild at extrema
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Best Threads (Most Thanked) in the last 7 days on NexusFi
August 1st, 2023, 01:32 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
most boxes are ticked , one outlier is bitcoin which should remain a constant
tokens eventually have to be exposed to forex which complicates things
due to size and popularity, large cap tech sometimes lags as well
//
stock du jour around aapl, which hit a temp trough into earnings
August 3rd, 2023, 04:10 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
one thing is hedging, similar to diversifying
exposure from one instrument can be mitigated by another
in a way to prevent from going full on.. never go full tard
premium can be sold, highs matched w/ lows, etc.
so that a loss is covered with a bigger gain
August 7th, 2023, 04:50 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
sofr is alright both 1 and 3 mo
googl is hanging somehow
maybe dxy demand eases
//
fearmongering is really in excess rn
energy is really stuck and usd/cad is also not helping
August 23rd, 2023, 10:50 AM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
k summer days, fading away.. bloomberg radio is great, you just fade that too
china / india possibly brics are a foundation with yields bumping while dollar eases
energy will sustain, commodities.. also makes yen stronger / antipodes correlates too
strat is selling premium at supports to either collect or make entry.. less so at resistance
soybeans should also follow, maybe less so soy meal / corn feed, rice not really dunno why
August 26th, 2023, 02:12 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
wheat is in that basket as well
what fed /pow are doing is encouraging stimulation inflation
chasing and tamping down using yield bumps as a buffer
and have shown they can control the domestic situation
the unknown is shadow / foreign dollar swaps, but this via sr1/3 futs
so in essence we are witnessing the development of bric strength
while excess foreign risks improve via regulation/deregulation
//
you see. it is not a question of if, but when and we are hoping
the global players are willing to do the same for us when the time comes
September 15th, 2023, 02:01 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
well well well
tech is ripe for picking off the overgrown tree
September 26th, 2023, 10:19 AM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
well let's see if supports successfully test and vix finishes a similar test of resistance , otherwise floodgates
September 27th, 2023, 01:54 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
unique division between tech/IT and consumer. factoring out consumer influence, market is still ranged
expanding on this:
corpo health is strong, but consumers need help and fed may pivot around these measures
take home:
tech is stable regardless of environment and would capitalize further on easing
//
tech slightly in upper ranges in the long term vs. small caps at the lower end
volume should be taken w/ a grain of salt as relative moves can be masked by a quiet day
PM action was significant in confirmation
September 28th, 2023, 04:19 PM
boston ma
Posts: 370 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
in terms of consumerism, which is linked to export dependencies
consumer demand might slow or otherwise seek haven in imports vs. strong dollar
if demand is somehow stimulated, the hope is that foreign exports can resolve some inflationary pressures
//
again, this is dependent on transport costs and linked to energy so hopefully crude can aid this
there may be a dual mandate for cleaner energy and the EV push attempts to solve this domestically
essentially we are exporting inflation overseas to stimulate global consumer demand
//
at the same time trying to de-couple from material goods dependencies by growing tech and service sectors
low unemployment encourages stability, and a steady stream of consumer-based import demand
also 2-year notes have a better outlook vs. the longer dated bonds being hit by inflationary controls
Last Updated on December 28, 2023