20231122 pre market



News
10 am (shake out time) Uni Michigan

Objectives
we broke out of 3 day balance
yesterday was an inside day
we open with a small gap up after 8:30 job numbers

Thoughts
We are sitting high on the flagpole
It is the last day before the long Thanksgiving weekend
For now they are grinding higher
Wait for clear change until you engage in something other that that

20231122 post market



trades 11 22



There were attempts to liquidate but they were not able to follow through
In a bullish environment failed liquidations can be interesting longs. Also did not play out
In short: Nothing what i did worked
After the fact we see that nothing has changed
We are otf up on the daily, buyers are firmly in control

20231127 pre market



news
10:00 housing data

Objectives
holiday trading from thursday and friday is inside wednesday
I will watch the extremes of wednesday and ignore thursday and friday
For now we open inside

Thoughts
Recognize if we see CHANGE or if the STATUS QUO (buyers inn control) remains
Expect CHOP inside of wednesdays range

20231127 post market




trades 11 27

• the market did not much
• i only had one outside-in-trade
• entry and exit on volume peaks

20231128 pre market


News
consumer confidence at 10
some semi important fed speakers

Objectives
the on explores a bit under wednesday low but for now does not get further traction

Thoughts
I will watch the market in relation to wednesdays low
acceptance below could be a first sign of buyers giving up control a bit

20231128 post market



trades 11 28

• Tried to move outside of that Murks that was inside wednesday to the downside
• As this failed (we were no able to get the onl) i reversed to long for outside in (got tailwind from news in that trade)
• Bought the counter auction in midtime at vwap
• That turned out to be something bigger so i took the gamechanger-trade at vwap short

• Market had all opportunities to start a bigger liquidation but it did not.
• Instead it again makes a flat balance area.
• Of course, this can change on a dime but for now it is bullish

VIX 2023 November



VIX is low
Market is bullish
Be very careful with anticipating liquididatons until you see REAL CHANGE

Excuse me adding to your thread...

This is the overnight to an hour after London & German Cash Open. It just wanted to go upwards, you could almost feel it..
Bids were buying throughout the night, at VWAP. 7am German Confidence Numbers were improved. Later today, German and US numbers are expected to be improved....

29 Nov Early Market Confidence

20231129 pre market



News
13:45 FOMC Mester speaks

Objectives
Open with gap up above our latest 3 day balance
oni is long and we open in upper third of onr

Thoughts
The market simply is very strong
I plan to be careful with shorts until we see clear change
The first objective sign of change would be to take out yesterdays high
Until this CHANGE happens the most obvious thing is to buy breaks and avoid shorts

ragic 

Excuse me adding to your thread...

You are welcome