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I agree, nice analysis @tturner86 we're at the high of the day now, bulls want BO and leg up, bears are selling betting on a trading range day. I'm only long a partial position now initiated at support 4069~ area.
Hourly chart we have bow broken the up trend line from the lows. I know a lot of today's action will be treading water waiting for FOMC. But I have to ask myself if we are seeing this rallies final flag? Either way we will find out at 2 PM. (I find it funny because MotoGP races start at 2 PM.) Just waiting for the red lights to go out.
We are around the AMN high. I find it funny that we got to 1 tick form 4100 and have sold off since. I believe if we get any rally to a high it will be faded hard. Other note is today could be a two bar bear reversal on the day. We will have to wait and see what happens.
1 Trade overnight caught the spike from BoJ announcement. Flat now as I have meetings and probably will be out most of the day.
My logic behind the trade was it looked like a BO pullback buy (again). Globex opened and traded above Y-Close. So I entered with a 10 PT stop (hard stop to cover if I was wrong while I slept).
Now that we are at ATH everyone is gonna be screaming about BTFD and how it worked again. But as @Big Mike noted, if you look at twitter you can see how everyone's reactions were when we were in the dip.
Last night's globex session has not traded beneath Friday's close. To me this is looking bullish. I was expecting a gap close on the open of globex but that didn't happen. Overall I am still bullish, but believe we are getting overextended. I think if we get above Friday's high we could see it faded.
On the hourly, as I expected once we met a new high it was faded quickly. We happen to hit the AWN High box, as well as PW-AWR High. We are currently coiling around the PW-high.
On the daily we opened and hit the swing high and VAH (within a few ticks) from Friday. We have since made a new high and retreated from there. AMN High is 4218.00 AMN Low is 4091.50. We still have the gap from 4103 to 4137. I believe we may see that gap closed and test the AMN low.
We have yet to have a 2% pullback in this rally, if we were to do that soon we would be looking at 4090.25. Which would close the gap and test the AMN low. I also believe this pullback would remove some of the overbought and set us up for another leg.
May have seen the low of the day at 10:15 this morning. I scalped a long, waiting to see if we move up into a trading range or continue back down from the moving average (looking at a 20 EMA on my 5 minute chart).
Quite possibly @ethand320 we hit the weekly DP and found support along the TL from the low. Yesterday we hit the AWN high and then today we went tested and have now pulled back off of the AWN low. Week is looking like a range so far, so I want to see if we get a leg to a new high.
On the RTH daily we hit the 5 MA at the low. Currently pulled back to PM-Close.
Today on the 5 min looks like a higher low MTR (major trend reversal). We have a trendline break, a test of the low and a large engulfing signal.