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2023 Rabbit
Updated December 28, 2023
2023 Rabbit
June 28th, 2023, 10:42 AM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
mostly energy driven, with tailwind from vix and gdp tbd so any cap is legit
retest maybe large cap tech or maybe just runaway like the usual
//
when small caps lead? nvda did dampen tech. though buyers through the haze
energy too except maybe natural gas, seasonal. see what gdp does
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Best Threads (Most Thanked) in the last 7 days on NexusFi
June 29th, 2023, 12:47 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
strong gdp mostly from export surprise? does the easy lifting for the dollar
rates jump and supposedly positive organic numbers also fight inflation
data driven, unch to basis increase would signal faith in economy
ranged, pivotal, though small caps catching up, energy in alignment
//
dollar basket also eases, stimulating globally, but may affect import-export
doing overseas business in light of currency strength, raw goods, assembly
final product has higher margin, so net gdp of input (cheap) - export (pricey) is +
but also, global operations can also source final product internationally
and decrease the overall cost / unit depending on the country
//
small caps do not operate so much internationally to currency tailwind mostly domestic
or with neighboring economies.. unless small caps can also internationalize operations
do more with less type of efficiencies ongoing perhaps, in light of inflationary pressure
without sourcing labor (inflationary) and buttresses the overall infrastructure
//
nq and nikkei lagging, small cap and dow and spy ok, energy except natural gas
copper lagging, bond yields up, crypto still up as well, maybe from high interest accounts
soy dropped, oats the opposite, regn stopped bleeding after failed fda approval
coca cola, ko dipped not sure if related to the ongoing artificial sweetener - cancer links
//
dollar watch, dipping, crypto too, precious metals, dollar basket higher in sympathy
indexes and energy as well, with vix dripping, bonds with possible revert as well
July 6th, 2023, 01:58 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
dip like, vix and v-bounce, though dollar strength continues, energy follows
July 11th, 2023, 01:06 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
now bonds are bid , in the background as energy levitates
not easing per se, but flight to safety might encourage lower yields as well
//
large and small caps, not necessarily tech
cpi expectations mostly off loaded onto petroleum products for now
//
dollar drop, commodities and related forex at wide bands metals, energy
vix also low and all caps moved higher, yields dropping as bonds bid
crypto correlate to dxy seems neg, like the antithesis to monetary policy
July 13th, 2023, 04:36 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
tech and bonds both extended but energy keeps routing
crypto gained traction, perhaps as a early predictor
with dollar goes crude, metals, commodities, seems overrun
license to inflate, since inflation target met?!
July 14th, 2023, 01:55 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
probably cash since earnings, even bonds and crypto. dollar is affecting forex, energy
July 18th, 2023, 01:11 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
dollar is turning possibly, indexes floating into earnings with energy
July 19th, 2023, 04:42 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
vix rolled but not enough for a turnaround, dollar resting as well
crude ok not gasoline nor heating oil, commodities index waiting
July 20th, 2023, 05:01 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
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whether energy is tracking dollar as indexes purge unknown, vix also confirms
commodities may have to catch downdraft with more strength
//
canadian dollar is a contributor to dollar basket ~ 10% component
however, as a currency, still sees strength alongside dollar -> energy rising
July 24th, 2023, 06:53 PM
boston ma
Posts: 356 since Dec 2012
Thanks Given: 12
Thanks Received: 108
USD/CAD strengthened as energy pulls back
dark index is dropping and setup is not ideal for earnings
Last Updated on December 28, 2023