Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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Iran Forward Curve: June 30 at 56% vs June 15 at 28% -- Brazil Tonight	0	8	Today 03:13 PM
The June 15 Resolution Trap: Iran's 'Agreed Text' Still Prices at 15.45% -- France 16%, Balogun	0	15	Today 07:12 AM
Deal Text Confirmed: Pakistan Delivers MOU, Weekend Signing Imminent -- Oil -6% Week [Updated June 13]	2	31	Today 07:10 AM
World Cup Opens: USA at 45.5% Tonight as Markets Push Back Against 88% Public Consensus -- Iran	0	28	Yesterday 03:16 PM
June 15 Peace Odds Surge From 3.6% to 12.25% After Trump Halts Military Action -- Four Days to	0	37	June 11th, 2026 03:15 PM
Second Night of US Strikes Crushes Iran June 15 to 3.6% -- World Cup Kickoff	0	33	June 11th, 2026 07:09 AM
$4.5M Floods Russia Nuclear Contract in 24 Hours -- Kremlin Escalates Threats as Two Geopolitic	0	50	June 10th, 2026 07:11 AM
Iran and Israel Stand Down: What $9M in Peace Contracts Knew -- World Cup 2026 Kicks Off in 48	0	55	June 9th, 2026 07:10 AM
Iran Fired a Missile at Israel Last Night. The $8M June 8 Airspace Contract Knew Before the Hea	0	69	June 8th, 2026 07:09 AM
Day 100: Most Intense Exchange Since Ceasefire -- June 15 at 6.5%, May Jobs +172k, CPI Wednesday	1	93	June 7th, 2026 07:12 AM
Roland Garros Final Day: $3M on Zverev at 80.5% -- Lebanon Contract Disputed, Fed June Hold Loc	0	40	June 7th, 2026 07:12 AM
Kalshi Hits $1 Billion in Super Bowl Trading Volume -- Prediction Markets Just Had Th	1	275	June 7th, 2026 04:07 AM
Six Days to Kickoff: World Cup Prediction Markets Hit $1.58 Billion -- Congo DR's $12M Day Is t	0	58	June 5th, 2026 07:04 AM
Sunday's Verdict: Lebanon Locked at 99.85% as Iran June 7 Dies -- The June 15 Spread at 14% Is	0	60	June 4th, 2026 07:04 AM
Iran Strikes Kuwait Airport, US Hits Qeshm Island -- WTI at $96, Ceasefire on Life Support [Updated June 3]	1	104	June 3rd, 2026 07:18 AM
Day 96 Missiles Hit Kuwait and Bahrain: June 15 Peace at 11.5%, World Cup $523M Countdown Begin	0	41	June 3rd, 2026 07:06 AM
UMA Votes Tonight: Polymarket's $80M Strategy Bitcoin Battle Heads to Governance -- Iran's June	0	59	June 2nd, 2026 03:10 PM
$500M Riding on World Cup 2026: France/Spain Co-Favored at 17%, Haaland's Norway at 2.75% Is th	0	61	June 2nd, 2026 07:07 AM
Saylor's 41-Month HODL Breaks: Strategy Sells 32 BTC as $43.7M Polymarket Contract Goes to Adju	0	68	June 1st, 2026 03:08 PM
Trump Toughens MOU Terms: US-Iran Trade Strikes, Kuwait Hit -- Oil +2.7% as Ceasefire Cracks [June 1]	1	87	June 1st, 2026 07:18 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.