Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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Al Arabiya: US-Iran Draft Deal 'Within Hours' Contains Hormuz Guarantee -- So Why Is Peace Stil	0	102	May 22nd, 2026 03:05 PM
Pakistan Mediator in Tehran as Hormuz Normalization Collapses to 5% -- The Uranium/Toll Deadloc	0	65	May 22nd, 2026 07:06 AM
Khamenei Vetoes Uranium Transfer as Peace Odds Surge to 19% -- The $33M Analytical Gap Traders	0	90	May 21st, 2026 03:07 PM
Wood Mackenzie Drops $200 Oil Forecast -- Airspace Expires NO, Iran Binary Reprices Sharply Wit	0	76	May 21st, 2026 07:18 AM
Iran Airspace Final 24 Hours at 4.5% -- World Cup Dark Horse Markets Hit $14M Daily Volume	6	207	May 20th, 2026 04:28 PM
Kalshi's $700M Saturday and the Coming Perps Revolution -- What Perpetual Futures Mean for Pred	1	158	May 19th, 2026 04:09 AM
Trump Warns Iran "Clock Is Ticking" -- Peace Odds Fall to 8.5% With 13 Days to May 31	2	113	May 19th, 2026 12:24 AM
$100M+ in Play: Rubio Charges to 30% in 2028 GOP Nomination Markets as Iran War Reshapes Presid	2	87	May 18th, 2026 10:03 PM
Post-Summit Scorecard: $36M in May 15 Bets Settle Near-Zero as All Iran Contracts Expire NO	0	76	May 15th, 2026 07:19 AM
Beijing Summit Closes: Xi Pledges Hormuz Help -- $1.14B Riding on 2028 Democratic Nominee, Kiss	0	88	May 14th, 2026 03:09 PM
CFTC Rewrites the Rulebook -- Kalshi Cracks $1B Non-Sports Weekly as Iran Peace Holds at 11.5%	0	156	May 14th, 2026 07:19 AM
Warsh Confirmed 54-45 on PPI Day -- 97% Say He Holds in June Despite Worst Inflation in 3 Years	0	128	May 13th, 2026 03:17 PM
Warsh Locked In at 100% as the Crowd Names the Next Fed Chair -- Cuba Military Clash at 37%	1	91	May 13th, 2026 09:53 AM
May 15 Is NOW 48 Hours Away: Ceasefire on Life Support, Hormuz by May 31 at 7% [Updated]	1	102	May 13th, 2026 07:20 AM
Iran Peace Expired NO: Ceasefire on 'Life Support,' OPEC at 20-Year Low	0	111	May 12th, 2026 07:15 AM
CPI Eve: Fed Hike Odds Hold at 52% for the First Time, Iran Nuclear Deal Lingers at 20%, and $9	0	100	May 12th, 2026 07:08 AM
Kalshi Sets $4.13B All-Time Weekly Record as Polymarket Slides to $1.6B -- Volume Gap Hits 2.5-	0	111	May 11th, 2026 03:12 PM
Trump Lands in Beijing on CPI Day: Iran Peace Expires Today, Hormuz Has 96 Hours -- Resolution	0	109	May 11th, 2026 07:17 AM
Al Kharaitiyat Transits Hormuz -- Trump Rejects Iran Counterproposal 'Totally Unacceptable,' Brent 04 [Updated]	1	93	May 11th, 2026 07:16 AM
El Clasico Draws $9.2M in Prediction Market Action -- Bitcoin's $150k Zombie Contract, Hantavir	0	128	May 10th, 2026 03:20 PM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.