Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

Page 5 of 8

	Replies	Views	Last Post
Powell's Last FOMC? DOJ Drops Probe, Warsh Confirmation Clears -- Iran Deal Odds Crater to 6.5%	4	246	April 25th, 2026 02:26 PM
CFTC Files First-Ever Insider Trading Case in Event Contracts -- Army Member Used Classified Op	4	303	April 24th, 2026 04:58 PM
Six Days to April 30: Tanker Seizures Confirmed at 99.95%, Peace Deal at 11.5%, Hormuz at 2.5%	2	126	April 24th, 2026 04:51 PM
Both Sides Seizing Ships: Iran Takes MSC Francesca, US Captures Tankers -- Trump No Rush, Brent $107 [Updated]	2	238	April 24th, 2026 07:17 AM
Ceasefire in Name Only: Three Numbers That Define the Iran Endgame	0	105	April 24th, 2026 07:15 AM
Kalshi Rockets to $22B, Passes Polymarket in Volume -- Bitcoin $150k by June Attracts $5.8M at	0	154	April 23rd, 2026 03:16 PM
Polymarket Launches Perpetual Futures With 10x Leverage on Stocks and Crypto -- Second CFTC-App	4	324	April 21st, 2026 11:55 PM
Fed Hold at 99.4% Nine Days Out -- Prediction Markets Say Powell Won't Flinch as Hormuz Burns	2	174	April 20th, 2026 04:46 PM
Kharg Island at 6%, Regime Fall at 1.5% -- The Black Swan Contracts Quietly Pricing Oil's Most	0	134	April 19th, 2026 03:13 PM
Hormuz Re-Closed After 24-Hour Opening -- IRGC Fires on Tankers, Pakistan Talks Next Week [Updated]	1	178	April 19th, 2026 12:33 PM
Kalshi Launches Commodities Hub and Teases Perpetual 'Timeless' Contracts -- Iran Nuclear Deal	2	187	April 17th, 2026 02:53 PM
Markets Split on Iran: Military Action 'Over' at 99.95% for Tomorrow, Peace Deal at 15pct, Horm	1	205	April 17th, 2026 07:21 AM
Prediction Markets Lock Fed Pause at 99pct for April 29 -- Hike and Cut Tails Both Trading Belo	0	129	April 16th, 2026 03:10 PM
Ceasefire Extension Jumps to 74pct as Oil Falls Below $100 -- Markets Now Pricing Iran Nuclear	2	241	April 15th, 2026 02:41 AM
One Wallet Made $200K in Hours: AP Probes Polymarket Ceasefire Bets as Iran Demands and Recessi	0	159	April 13th, 2026 03:15 PM
US Navy Blockade of Hormuz Starts Today -- Oil Surges 8pct Above $100	0	206	April 13th, 2026 07:32 AM
Election Sunday Resolves: Peru Heads to Runoff at 42pct, Ceasefire Extension 45pct, Recession O	0	104	April 13th, 2026 07:12 AM
Hungary Called for Magyar at 97pct, Ending 16-Year Orban Rule -- Cameron Young Leads McIlroy at	0	145	April 12th, 2026 03:12 PM
Iran Truce: 21-Hour Islamabad Talks End Without Deal -- Vance Says 'Best and Final Offer' [Updated]	3	308	April 12th, 2026 07:22 AM
Orban Crashes to 21pct on Record Turnout -- McIlroy Drops from 70pct to 36pct	0	116	April 12th, 2026 07:20 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.