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Idea
I`m very offen wrote about, my day Ok when I follow my rules and IF I broke my rule my day 99% will be bad or VERY bad. Now I`m prepare same structure of my trading process. During First hour check list I will be check my rules and prepre next trading plan. Like i said before all my simple rules must be like good habbits process. And now I`m start do this procees with #Monthly_Challange
Important
1. Each day I`m add First hour check list result+ trading plan to each my post!
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?
Pre market plan
Description: Yday for NQ was 50/50 day. And today i will look like always on daily gap.
Scenario1: Price try to close gap. But buyers will be hold price around 7660 area. Look to LONG momentum
Scenario2: Price after open jump higher and show sideway move. In this case I will be wait 7680 or 7660 area`s.
Sceanrio3: It also actual sceanrio and very possible scenario. Rule for this scenario will be like yday!
First hour check list
Comment: At this moment I`m two times buy YM! But it was wrong idea.Becouse YM much weak then NQ. And now I wait signal on NQ to buy signal.
My plan:
Market recap
Daily comment
Market: NQ all day session was stronger then other market. ES during this sesion close gap. Volatility is dangerous LOW(((
Developing process: I`m try to work with my rules and it give result BUT this is realy difficult be constantly disciplined trader. And I think I must be more careful and discipline! At First hour check list I add qestion: During First hour I do same stupid trade or not. If yes I must stop trade!
Market view
Description: In this post this is chart will be main! look to volatility this is not my game!! Rember it. I must update my volatility rule and add volume parametrs to this rule!
Trading result
Description: It was not my day! 1. Volatility was too low 2. At First hour I made two stupid trades! But I follow my RM parametrs, it good!
Pre market plan
Description: During globex sesion volume at this moment more then 80k. That normal for volatility-momentum day. Today price open on the middle VAL-VAH area, that means today no same prior scenario.
Scenario1: Price will be move in range 7680-7730. Look to reaction in this area. And look to short in 7700 area.
Scenario2: Short scenario, becuse this is second delta negative week. Like scenario1 but sellers will be hold price under 7680 area.
Scenario3: Price open in range during 15-20 min and after find buyers and push price higher above 7700. Look to long as support area 7700 or 7715 area
First hour check list
Comment: Continue work, good day. Im do two not bad trade. Exit wrong! Now focus on my two plan.
Market recap
Daily comment
Main: Today I`m out of the ofice and Market recap will be small, only comment and trading result!.
Market: My Scenario1 is perfect. One interest things about weekly VAL and VAH area during Thursday and Friday. This is potential reverse area for this day.
Devoliping procces: Now I will be write not only about my trading comment. I`m change "Trading" to "Developing procces". This is main and focus for me now! About "First hour check list" very very GOOD! But add one thing to this check list view about Correlation on tne market.
Trading result
Description: After "FHCL" I made 3 trades! And one trade was BAD on YM! YM was stronger then other market BUT I`m try to sell him! Wrong! Check Correlation and fix it during FHCL.
Pre market plan
Description: Monday gap down day. Usually US don`t accept them on strong bullish market, my main scenario this is Long scenario.
Scenario1: Price go once more to test 7650 and may be find strong buyer with good buyers impulse or start walk around this price. I will be look same support area.
Sceanrio2: Price at first half of day close the gap and after show PB to 7670-7680 area. Also look support.
Scenario3: This is difficult scenario. Price will be walk around 7670-7680 area, with potential continue go lower. In this case I will be look correlation market. And look to short who will be worse then other.
Market recap
Daily comment
Market: Like in my scenario. Market don`t accept gap down on strong bull market
Developing process: Today next big loss day ((
Rules and continue road to be better
1. Today I`m play not in my game. Low volatility market this is NOT my market.
UPDATE VOLATILITY RULES:
I`m trade IF(one of them):
- Volatility indicatior >8;
- Pre market volume >70k;
- Pre market delta >2k;
2. My style it organize simple rules and work with simple form and etc. I`m prepare Daily Report Card and after each day I will be post it in my journal. Today first day:
3. "First hour check list" this is perfect instrument for grow! BUT this is second day when I don`t do this check list and continue hunt for short in YM. WRONG! 5 minutes for FHCL more IMPORTANT!! This is must be my habbit!
Trading result
Description: I`m broke my rule. But it day was good lesson where I`m wrong and what I must do better!
Description: Gap UP on all time new high. Shanghai Comp sell off day -2,5% and yday FB has very bad report. I don`t wait today like always strong up day.
Scenario1: Gap close scenario. Price try once more test O/N area and find same sellers around 7875-7880 area.
Sceanrio2: Price open with sidaway move and after mix slow down can find same support around 7850 area.
About Monday
I don`t enough time to post my pre market plan and now result of this day PNL: -120$
Pre market plan
Description: Market open with gap down becouse Google report not very good. But today Apple can support market with good report about selling different service.
Scenario1: Key price for this scenario 7780. After open priece test once more this area and after find strong strong buyers and go to close this down gap.
Scenario2: This second part of scenario1. Only will be work if sellers start strong sell in 7820 area.
Comment
Yday was FOMC day and like in my rule I`m don`t trade during this day
Pre market plan
Description: Tommorow Non farm, yday was FOMC and market drop down to 7740 area. Today for me two main scenario.
Scenario1: Price like last 4 days will be try go up after short fail. But sellers start work in 7780-7800 area. I will be wait same strong resistance momentum.
Scenario2: Price open in range may be 15-20 min and afer step by step go down.
Scenario3: Price came back to IB week area 7800+. Key price for this sceanrio 7780 area, there must be strong support.
Market recap
Daily comment
Market: Like in my scenario, perfect sell off momentum day
Developing process: I`m test last few day daily VWAP and today that work 100%. I must test rule of Bella from SMB don`t sell above daily VWAP or this is must strong momentum.
Market view
Description: Like I said before it was perfect sell off momentum day.
Trading result
Description:This is day with few errors! One of main error I`m broke my RM! WRONG!
Pre market plan
Description: Good O/N gap, prior "Gap and go" day. Only one thing today evening FED speak and may be in second part of day price to try and go for close gap.
Scenario1: PB sceanrio. After open price slowly slowly go down and I will be look around 7780 and 7760 area.
Scenario2: Price open in range and go step by step higher. Look to 7800 area and daily VWAP area.
Sceanrio3: If price jump after open to 7720-7740 and find range area, in second part of day it can be PB to 7780 area.
First hour check list
Comment: Every thing ok, NQ is much stronger then other market. I`m allready do one trade from daily VWAP on 19 ticks. Good! And now wait once more PB to 7800 for buy.
Trading plan:
That was good enough day with one trade like in my plan.
Main info for future
1. Weekly report card, this is perfect format for understand where you and what you do on the market.
2. First hour check list this is importnat part of my trading day. I`m broke this rule at Thursday. Wrong!
Current FHCL:
- Risk managment (good/bad);
- Money managment (good/bad);
- Pre market plan actual or not;
- Market correlation;
- Trading plan;
Trading plan after FHCL this is importnat part of my trading day! Focus on it!
3. Continue test and look Bella from SMB idea: "Don`t sell above daily VWAP area". Or for each trading session I must prepare same fix price for stop buy or sell.
Pre market plan
Description: 3x more O/N volume then ussualy, very good! Strong catalyst news about US-China trade deal. No buy at all today! I think today will be day of OrderFlow and two scenario for short.
Scenario1: Price go higher and market will be try to buy becouse it cheap. But it wrong! And I`m wait sellers around 7740 area.
Scenario2: Price open in range and after step by step go down. Look to 7680 area +daily VWAP.
Important: 7740 area will be edge of short plan. Seat on hand and wait!
FHCL
Comment: At this moment I`m made 5 trade with 270$ PNL, I`m broke my RM rule (MAX 4 trades). But I`m prerare I think good trading plan. Wait and look what will be next step from market BUT I`m wait him on 7740.
Trading plan:
Market recap
Daily comment
Market: After strong sell off during pre market time based on news about problem in deal beetwen US-China, market show strong buy side and backup price to open level.
Developing procces: My pre market plan was wrong, but rule "Plan you trade and trade your plan" work perfect, after FHCL I`m prepre plan and wait 7740, but price go higher and higher after when I see it I switch off terminal and go home!
Market view
Description: 7740 interest for tommorow
Market context
Description: Next day when market show what time to time VWAP can be S/R area
Trading stat
Description: I`m trade my plan, this is good! Few bad things:
- Trade on situation ONLY 2 times (I`m trade 3 times);
- MAX 4 trade in my RM!! I`m trade 5 times!