call premiums collected, turndown. energy is wild at extrema

most boxes are ticked, one outlier is bitcoin which should remain a constant

tokens eventually have to be exposed to forex which complicates things

due to size and popularity, large cap tech sometimes lags as well

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stock du jour around aapl, which hit a temp trough into earnings

one thing is hedging, similar to diversifying

exposure from one instrument can be mitigated by another

in a way to prevent from going full on.. never go full tard

premium can be sold, highs matched w/ lows, etc.

so that a loss is covered with a bigger gain

sofr is alright both 1 and 3 mo

googl is hanging somehow

maybe dxy demand eases

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fearmongering is really in excess rn

energy is really stuck and usd/cad is also not helping

k summer days, fading away.. bloomberg radio is great, you just fade that too

china / india possibly brics are a foundation with yields bumping while dollar eases

energy will sustain, commodities.. also makes yen stronger / antipodes correlates too

strat is selling premium at supports to either collect or make entry.. less so at resistance

soybeans should also follow, maybe less so soy meal / corn feed, rice not really dunno why

wheat is in that basket as well

what fed/pow are doing is encouraging stimulation inflation

chasing and tamping down using yield bumps as a buffer

and have shown they can control the domestic situation

the unknown is shadow / foreign dollar swaps, but this via sr1/3 futs

so in essence we are witnessing the development of bric strength

while excess foreign risks improve via regulation/deregulation

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you see. it is not a question of if, but when and we are hoping

the global players are willing to do the same for us when the time comes

well well well

tech is ripe for picking off the overgrown tree

well let's see if supports successfully test and vix finishes a similar test of resistance, otherwise floodgates

unique division between tech/IT and consumer. factoring out consumer influence, market is still ranged

expanding on this:

corpo health is strong, but consumers need help and fed may pivot around these measures

take home:

tech is stable regardless of environment and would capitalize further on easing

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tech slightly in upper ranges in the long term vs. small caps at the lower end

volume should be taken w/ a grain of salt as relative moves can be masked by a quiet day

PM action was significant in confirmation

in terms of consumerism, which is linked to export dependencies

consumer demand might slow or otherwise seek haven in imports vs. strong dollar

if demand is somehow stimulated, the hope is that foreign exports can resolve some inflationary pressures

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again, this is dependent on transport costs and linked to energy so hopefully crude can aid this

there may be a dual mandate for cleaner energy and the EV push attempts to solve this domestically

essentially we are exporting inflation overseas to stimulate global consumer demand

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at the same time trying to de-couple from material goods dependencies by growing tech and service sectors

low unemployment encourages stability, and a steady stream of consumer-based import demand

also 2-year notes have a better outlook vs. the longer dated bonds being hit by inflationary controls