MES

## 📌 Setup & Context

- **Location in Profile**: LVN

- **Screenshot at 30m**:

@MES - Context - Sep-01 1232 PM (Tick(1.5K))


- **Screenshot at 3m**:
@MES - Footprint - Sep-01 1232 PM (P&F(5,3))


## ⚙️ Execution

- **Trigger Type**: Absorption
- **Entry Reason**: Possible pullback on trend, continuation reload on bid.
- **Exit Reason**: SL. while stop was tight, I could exit earlier. when notice low conviction and increase of velocity on bid side.

## 📈 Outcome
- **Loss**
- **Would I take this trade again?** Hard to say, the trend stop for some time, I need more momentum for confidence.
- **Emotion check**: Calm

## 🔁 Review Flags
- [ ] Hesitation
- [x] Poor read
- [x] Good execution
- [ ] Misjudged context
- [ ] Impulse

## 📌 Setup & Context

- **Location in Profile**: LVN

- **Screenshot at 30m**:
@MES - Context - Sep-01 1258 PM (Tick(1.5K))

- **Screenshot at 3m**:
@MES - Footprint - Sep-01 1259 PM (P&F(5,3))


## ⚙️ Execution

- **Trigger Type**: No signal
- **Entry Reason**: Suggest possible pullback, but it's too deep. For deep pullback need wait the momentum, rather than suggest its completion.
- **Exit Reason**: SL

## 📈 Outcome
- **Loss**
- **Would I take this trade again?** No
- **Emotion check**: Rushed

## 🔁 Review Flags
- [ ] Hesitation
- [x] Poor read
- [ ] Good execution
- [ ] Misjudged context
- [x] Impulse

Assets Observation

MGC: Bid/Ask sizes are small, so any market order can sweep multiple price levels. Orders are pulled quickly, so levels don't hold - price slices through or whips back violently.
MCL: It's also thin, but participation looks more steadier. Often push and grind, so looks more like grinding auction than a jumping vacuum.
MES: Much thicker DOM, so I could see better absorption, rotations. Give me more time to think.

Due to this I focus only on MCL and MES.

On simulator account need to learn to scale in and scale out to be more dynamic during trade.

I'm removing PnL from my charting and ladder, so I stay focused. I also want to widen my perception to avoid strong biases. For example, today in MCL I thought the market would not reach the previous high, because I noticed a rounded top and several highs on profile shows decreases. As result, my thoughts were occupied only with waiting for a sell opportunities. The good part is that I didn't take a short without trigger.

I also want to set daily goals, so I'm not frustrated much if I don't see progress in my PnL. As beginning I want to start from improving my entries, so I not jump to the trade without my signals.

I will enter only when price leave balance zone. A trigger could be or absorption with decrease of velocity near absorption level, or increase momentum (increase volume, footprint imbalance).

I need to consider not managing trades against double distribution profiles. After analyzing several months of MGC and MES profiles, I noticed that when a double distribution forms and price leaves the current value area in the direction of the previous one, it usually reaches that destination.

To test this idea, I should use smaller size, place the stop loss above/below the current value zone, and enter when price leaves the zone in the direction of the previous distribution.

# 02.09.2025 - MES
## 📊 Context

- **Opening Type**: Open Drive
- **Opening Location**: Inside Value
- **Day Type (Projection)**: Normal
- **Shape Type (TPO)**: P
- **Overnight Range**: Wide
- **Bias**: ⚪ Neutral
- **Narrative**: Will it create new low?

@MES - Context - Sep-02 0755 AM (Tick(1.5K))


# 02.09.2025 - MCL

## 📊 Context

- **Opening Type**: Open Drive
- **Opening Location**: Outside Value
- **Day Type (Projection)**: Trend
- **Shape Type (TPO)**: Trend
- **Overnight Range**: Wide
- **Bias**: 🟢 Bullish
- **Narrative**: Could breakout from previous high

@MCL - Context - Sep-02 0755 AM (Tick(300))

VillainAntagonist 

I need to consider not managing trades against double distribution profiles. After analyzing several months of MGC and MES profiles, I noticed that when a double distribution forms and price leaves the current value area in the direction of the previous one, it usually reaches that destination. To test this idea, I should use smaller size, place the stop loss above/below the current value zone, and enter when price leaves the zone in the direction of the previous distribution.

@VillainAntagonist,

Your observation about double distributions is spot-on. When price creates that vacuum between value areas, it often acts like a magnet pulling price through. The key insight here is recognizing these aren't random movements - they represent institutional positioning at different levels.

For your ES and MGC trades, consider watching delta divergence at the value area edges. When price approaches the edge of the current distribution heading toward the previous one, look for delta confirming the move - buyers stepping in on the break up, or sellers pressing on the break down. Your footprint should show this clearly.

The timing factor you haven't mentioned: these moves often accelerate during specific sessions. ES double distributions breaking during European open or bond pit open tend to complete faster. MGC moves during Asian hours show similar characteristics.

Your position sizing approach is smart. These setups have high probability but when they fail, they fail hard. Starting with smaller size lets you validate the pattern without taking unnecessary heat. Once you've logged 20-30 trades, you'll have solid stats on win rate and average move distance.

Have you noticed any correlation between the height of the low-volume zone and completion probability? In my analysis, wider gaps (>10 ticks on ES) show higher follow-through rates.

What specific market conditions trigger your entries?

-- Fi
"I'm not interested in the future, I'm interested in the present."

# 02.09.2025 - MES Trade {{number}}

## 📌 Setup & Context

- **Location in Profile**: HVN

- **Screenshot at 30m**:
@MES - Context - Sep-02 0812 AM (Tick(1.5K))

- **Screenshot at 3m**:
@MES - Footprint - Sep-02 0803 AM (P&F(5,3))


## ⚙️ Execution

- **Trigger Type**: Delta Shift / Absorption
- **Entry Reason**: Not best reason, price was going to POC, while my usual reason when it leave it.
- **Exit Reason**: Reload on POC.

## 📈 Outcome
- **Win**
- **Would I take this trade again?** No
- **Emotion check**: Rushed

## 🔁 Review Flags
- [ ] Hesitation
- [ ] Poor read
- [ ] Good execution
- [ ] Misjudged context
- [x] Impulse

# 02.09.2025 MCL Trade 2

## 📌 Setup & Context

- **Location in Profile**: LVN

- **Screenshot at 30m**:
@MCL - Context - Sep-02 1011 AM (Tick(300))

- **Screenshot at 3m**:
@MCL - Footprint - Sep-02 1011 AM (P&F(7,3))


## ⚙️ Execution

- **Trigger Type**: Footprint Imbalance, Tape
- **Entry Reason**:Pullback on trend
- **Exit Reason**:Reload on ask

## 📈 Outcome
- **Win**
- **Would I take this trade again?** Yes
- **Emotion check**: Calm Confident

## 🔁 Review Flags
- [ ] Hesitation
- [ ] Poor read
- [x] Good execution
- [ ] Misjudged context
- [ ] Impulse