Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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Fed Hold at 99.4% Nine Days Out -- Prediction Markets Say Powell Won't Flinch as Hormuz Burns	2	268	April 20th, 2026 04:46 PM
Kharg Island at 6%, Regime Fall at 1.5% -- The Black Swan Contracts Quietly Pricing Oil's Most	0	218	April 19th, 2026 03:13 PM
Hormuz Re-Closed After 24-Hour Opening -- IRGC Fires on Tankers, Pakistan Talks Next Week [Updated]	1	286	April 19th, 2026 12:33 PM
Kalshi Launches Commodities Hub and Teases Perpetual 'Timeless' Contracts -- Iran Nuclear Deal	2	396	April 17th, 2026 02:53 PM
Markets Split on Iran: Military Action 'Over' at 99.95% for Tomorrow, Peace Deal at 15pct, Horm	1	305	April 17th, 2026 07:21 AM
Prediction Markets Lock Fed Pause at 99pct for April 29 -- Hike and Cut Tails Both Trading Belo	0	226	April 16th, 2026 03:10 PM
Ceasefire Extension Jumps to 74pct as Oil Falls Below $100 -- Markets Now Pricing Iran Nuclear	2	378	April 15th, 2026 02:41 AM
One Wallet Made $200K in Hours: AP Probes Polymarket Ceasefire Bets as Iran Demands and Recessi	0	276	April 13th, 2026 03:15 PM
US Navy Blockade of Hormuz Starts Today -- Oil Surges 8pct Above $100	0	359	April 13th, 2026 07:32 AM
Election Sunday Resolves: Peru Heads to Runoff at 42pct, Ceasefire Extension 45pct, Recession O	0	180	April 13th, 2026 07:12 AM
Hungary Called for Magyar at 97pct, Ending 16-Year Orban Rule -- Cameron Young Leads McIlroy at	0	250	April 12th, 2026 03:12 PM
Iran Truce: 21-Hour Islamabad Talks End Without Deal -- Vance Says 'Best and Final Offer' [Updated]	3	534	April 12th, 2026 07:22 AM
Orban Crashes to 21pct on Record Turnout -- McIlroy Drops from 70pct to 36pct	0	190	April 12th, 2026 07:20 AM
Ceasefire Week: Futures Drop to $95 But Physical Oil Trades Above $140 -- Islamabad Talks Begin [Updated]	4	485	April 12th, 2026 07:15 AM
BofA Projects $1.1 Trillion in Sports Event Contracts -- Kalshi Controls 90pct of US Volume as	0	277	April 11th, 2026 03:09 PM
Orban at 29pct as Hungary Votes Tomorrow -- McIlroy Surges to 70pct at Augusta, Iran Ceasefire	0	182	April 11th, 2026 02:53 PM
Islamabad Quartet Forms Ceasefire Channel as Markets Price 67pct Ground Invasion, 1.5pct Peace	2	320	April 6th, 2026 10:43 PM
Prediction Markets Under Fire: Insider Trading Scandals, Platform Bans, and a Senate Bill That	2	400	April 6th, 2026 10:43 PM
Third Circuit Backs Kalshi in Landmark Ruling -- Prediction Markets Win in Court as Iran Contra	0	229	April 6th, 2026 03:12 PM
Iran Rejects Ultimatum, Attacks Gulf Water and Power Infrastructure as April 6 Energy Strike Deadline Arrives [Updated]	2	489	April 5th, 2026 07:38 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.