Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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	Replies	Views	Last Post
Ceasefire Week: Futures Drop to $95 But Physical Oil Trades Above $140 -- Islamabad Talks Begin [Updated]	4	315	April 12th, 2026 07:15 AM
BofA Projects $1.1 Trillion in Sports Event Contracts -- Kalshi Controls 90pct of US Volume as	0	166	April 11th, 2026 03:09 PM
Orban at 29pct as Hungary Votes Tomorrow -- McIlroy Surges to 70pct at Augusta, Iran Ceasefire	0	108	April 11th, 2026 02:53 PM
Islamabad Quartet Forms Ceasefire Channel as Markets Price 67pct Ground Invasion, 1.5pct Peace	2	207	April 6th, 2026 10:43 PM
Prediction Markets Under Fire: Insider Trading Scandals, Platform Bans, and a Senate Bill That	2	217	April 6th, 2026 10:43 PM
Third Circuit Backs Kalshi in Landmark Ruling -- Prediction Markets Win in Court as Iran Contra	0	141	April 6th, 2026 03:12 PM
Iran Rejects Ultimatum, Attacks Gulf Water and Power Infrastructure as April 6 Energy Strike Deadline Arrives [Updated]	2	226	April 5th, 2026 07:38 AM
CME Lists U.S. Election Event Contracts as 2028 Democratic Race Hits $982 Million in Volume	0	139	April 5th, 2026 07:30 AM
$134M Ground Entry Contract in Disputed Final Review After Rescue Mission -- April 7 Ceasefire	0	313	April 5th, 2026 07:21 AM
$24.5 Billion Record Month: Prediction Markets Shatter All-Time High -- Iran at 87pct, 2028 Rac	0	161	April 3rd, 2026 03:24 PM
Iran War Day 34: Oil Tops $112, UNSC Hormuz Vote Saturday, French Ship Breaks Blockade [Updated]	2	216	April 3rd, 2026 07:24 AM
Investors and the Rise of Prediction Markets Like Polymarket	1	131	April 3rd, 2026 06:15 AM
The Ceasefire Curve: 2pct Peace by Next Week, 60pct by Summer -- What Prediction Markets Say Ab	0	176	April 2nd, 2026 03:20 PM
Oil Crosses $100 on March 31 -- Trump Signals Exit While IRGC Threatens 18 US Companies Starting April 1 [Updated] ( 1 2)	11	12,153	April 2nd, 2026 10:09 AM
Prediction Markets Expiry Day: Trump Eyes War Exit, $230M in Contracts Resolve, Oil $105 Target	0	140	March 31st, 2026 12:51 PM
Expiration Day: Wall Street Rallies on Peace Hopes While Prediction Markets Price 59pct Chance	0	114	March 31st, 2026 12:44 PM
Iran Ceasefire Surges to 19.5% on US 15-Point Plan -- 82nd Airborne Deploys as March 31 Expiry	0	210	March 25th, 2026 07:38 AM
Trump's 15-Point Iran Ceasefire Plan -- Oil Crashes 5%, Iran Dismisses Talks While Opening Hormuz [Updated]	2	243	March 25th, 2026 07:28 AM
Iran War Prediction Markets: Ceasefire 16%, Ground Invasion 13%, Regime Fall 2% -- March 31 Exp	0	181	March 23rd, 2026 01:02 PM
Clear Street and Marex Give Hedge Funds Direct Prime Brokerage Access to Kalshi Event Contracts	2	286	March 12th, 2026 04:14 PM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.