Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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	Replies	Views	Last Post
CME Lists U.S. Election Event Contracts as 2028 Democratic Race Hits $982 Million in Volume	0	356	April 5th, 2026 08:30 AM
$134M Ground Entry Contract in Disputed Final Review After Rescue Mission -- April 7 Ceasefire	0	411	April 5th, 2026 08:21 AM
$24.5 Billion Record Month: Prediction Markets Shatter All-Time High -- Iran at 87pct, 2028 Rac	0	274	April 3rd, 2026 04:24 PM
Iran War Day 34: Oil Tops $112, UNSC Hormuz Vote Saturday, French Ship Breaks Blockade [Updated]	2	424	April 3rd, 2026 08:24 AM
Investors and the Rise of Prediction Markets Like Polymarket	1	262	April 3rd, 2026 07:15 AM
The Ceasefire Curve: 2pct Peace by Next Week, 60pct by Summer -- What Prediction Markets Say Ab	0	294	April 2nd, 2026 04:20 PM
Oil Crosses $100 on March 31 -- Trump Signals Exit While IRGC Threatens 18 US Companies Starting April 1 [Updated] ( 1 2)	11	13,288	April 2nd, 2026 11:09 AM
Prediction Markets Expiry Day: Trump Eyes War Exit, $230M in Contracts Resolve, Oil $105 Target	0	280	March 31st, 2026 01:51 PM
Expiration Day: Wall Street Rallies on Peace Hopes While Prediction Markets Price 59pct Chance	0	230	March 31st, 2026 01:44 PM
Iran Ceasefire Surges to 19.5% on US 15-Point Plan -- 82nd Airborne Deploys as March 31 Expiry	0	412	March 25th, 2026 08:38 AM
Trump's 15-Point Iran Ceasefire Plan -- Oil Crashes 5%, Iran Dismisses Talks While Opening Hormuz [Updated]	2	499	March 25th, 2026 08:28 AM
Iran War Prediction Markets: Ceasefire 16%, Ground Invasion 13%, Regime Fall 2% -- March 31 Exp	0	299	March 23rd, 2026 02:02 PM
Clear Street and Marex Give Hedge Funds Direct Prime Brokerage Access to Kalshi Event Contracts	2	486	March 12th, 2026 05:14 PM
Cboe Launches BITVX Bitcoin Volatility Index and Unveils Prediction Market 'Payout Zone' Framew	0	244	March 11th, 2026 11:57 AM
CFTC Advances Prediction Markets Regulation -- Chairman Selig Pushes Regulate Don't Ban Approac	0	253	March 7th, 2026 09:08 AM
Eurex Eyes Prediction Markets -- Europe's Biggest Derivatives Exchange Joins the Event Contract	0	370	March 6th, 2026 08:09 AM
Prediction Markets Go B2B -- White-Label Platforms Now Let Any Broker Offer Event Contracts in	0	471	February 28th, 2026 08:09 AM
Kalshi Catches MrBeast Editor and Political Candidate for Insider Trading -- CFTC Issues First	0	279	February 26th, 2026 08:06 AM
Tradeweb Takes Minority Stake in Kalshi -- Prediction Market Data Coming to Instituti	0	588	February 21st, 2026 08:04 AM
CME Group Event Contracts Blast Past 100 Million Traded -- In Just 8 Weeks	0	384	February 18th, 2026 12:16 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.