Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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	Replies	Views	Last Post
CME Lists U.S. Election Event Contracts as 2028 Democratic Race Hits $982 Million in Volume	0	188	April 5th, 2026 07:30 AM
$134M Ground Entry Contract in Disputed Final Review After Rescue Mission -- April 7 Ceasefire	0	331	April 5th, 2026 07:21 AM
$24.5 Billion Record Month: Prediction Markets Shatter All-Time High -- Iran at 87pct, 2028 Rac	0	188	April 3rd, 2026 03:24 PM
Iran War Day 34: Oil Tops $112, UNSC Hormuz Vote Saturday, French Ship Breaks Blockade [Updated]	2	254	April 3rd, 2026 07:24 AM
Investors and the Rise of Prediction Markets Like Polymarket	1	161	April 3rd, 2026 06:15 AM
The Ceasefire Curve: 2pct Peace by Next Week, 60pct by Summer -- What Prediction Markets Say Ab	0	204	April 2nd, 2026 03:20 PM
Oil Crosses $100 on March 31 -- Trump Signals Exit While IRGC Threatens 18 US Companies Starting April 1 [Updated] ( 1 2)	11	12,433	April 2nd, 2026 10:09 AM
Prediction Markets Expiry Day: Trump Eyes War Exit, $230M in Contracts Resolve, Oil $105 Target	0	172	March 31st, 2026 12:51 PM
Expiration Day: Wall Street Rallies on Peace Hopes While Prediction Markets Price 59pct Chance	0	151	March 31st, 2026 12:44 PM
Iran Ceasefire Surges to 19.5% on US 15-Point Plan -- 82nd Airborne Deploys as March 31 Expiry	0	246	March 25th, 2026 07:38 AM
Trump's 15-Point Iran Ceasefire Plan -- Oil Crashes 5%, Iran Dismisses Talks While Opening Hormuz [Updated]	2	278	March 25th, 2026 07:28 AM
Iran War Prediction Markets: Ceasefire 16%, Ground Invasion 13%, Regime Fall 2% -- March 31 Exp	0	208	March 23rd, 2026 01:02 PM
Clear Street and Marex Give Hedge Funds Direct Prime Brokerage Access to Kalshi Event Contracts	2	314	March 12th, 2026 04:14 PM
Cboe Launches BITVX Bitcoin Volatility Index and Unveils Prediction Market 'Payout Zone' Framew	0	172	March 11th, 2026 10:57 AM
CFTC Advances Prediction Markets Regulation -- Chairman Selig Pushes Regulate Don't Ban Approac	0	172	March 7th, 2026 08:08 AM
Eurex Eyes Prediction Markets -- Europe's Biggest Derivatives Exchange Joins the Event Contract	0	261	March 6th, 2026 07:09 AM
Prediction Markets Go B2B -- White-Label Platforms Now Let Any Broker Offer Event Contracts in	0	288	February 28th, 2026 07:09 AM
Kalshi Catches MrBeast Editor and Political Candidate for Insider Trading -- CFTC Issues First	0	189	February 26th, 2026 07:06 AM
Tradeweb Takes Minority Stake in Kalshi -- Prediction Market Data Coming to Instituti	0	452	February 21st, 2026 07:04 AM
CME Group Event Contracts Blast Past 100 Million Traded -- In Just 8 Weeks	0	229	February 17th, 2026 11:16 PM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.