Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

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	Replies	Views	Last Post
$100M+ in Play: Rubio Charges to 30% in 2028 GOP Nomination Markets as Iran War Reshapes Presid	2	160	May 18th, 2026 10:03 PM
Post-Summit Scorecard: $36M in May 15 Bets Settle Near-Zero as All Iran Contracts Expire NO	0	153	May 15th, 2026 07:19 AM
Beijing Summit Closes: Xi Pledges Hormuz Help -- $1.14B Riding on 2028 Democratic Nominee, Kiss	0	158	May 14th, 2026 03:09 PM
CFTC Rewrites the Rulebook -- Kalshi Cracks $1B Non-Sports Weekly as Iran Peace Holds at 11.5%	0	236	May 14th, 2026 07:19 AM
Warsh Confirmed 54-45 on PPI Day -- 97% Say He Holds in June Despite Worst Inflation in 3 Years	0	230	May 13th, 2026 03:17 PM
Warsh Locked In at 100% as the Crowd Names the Next Fed Chair -- Cuba Military Clash at 37%	1	165	May 13th, 2026 09:53 AM
May 15 Is NOW 48 Hours Away: Ceasefire on Life Support, Hormuz by May 31 at 7% [Updated]	1	168	May 13th, 2026 07:20 AM
Iran Peace Expired NO: Ceasefire on 'Life Support,' OPEC at 20-Year Low	0	179	May 12th, 2026 07:15 AM
CPI Eve: Fed Hike Odds Hold at 52% for the First Time, Iran Nuclear Deal Lingers at 20%, and $9	0	172	May 12th, 2026 07:08 AM
Kalshi Sets $4.13B All-Time Weekly Record as Polymarket Slides to $1.6B -- Volume Gap Hits 2.5-	0	201	May 11th, 2026 03:12 PM
Trump Lands in Beijing on CPI Day: Iran Peace Expires Today, Hormuz Has 96 Hours -- Resolution	0	175	May 11th, 2026 07:17 AM
Al Kharaitiyat Transits Hormuz -- Trump Rejects Iran Counterproposal 'Totally Unacceptable,' Brent 04 [Updated]	1	154	May 11th, 2026 07:16 AM
El Clasico Draws $9.2M in Prediction Market Action -- Bitcoin's $150k Zombie Contract, Hantavir	0	198	May 10th, 2026 03:20 PM
Tehran Stays Silent: Iran Peace Odds Crash 9pts to 24.5% -- Energy Markets Repricing as May 15 Deadline Passed [Updated]	2	257	May 9th, 2026 04:54 PM
Victory Day Delivers: Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Market Closes YES as Iran Remains the Unresolved	0	217	May 9th, 2026 08:15 AM
Hormuz Surges From 14% to 26.5% Intraday as Iran's Answer Arrives -- A 1-in-4 Oil Shock Risk Be	0	163	May 8th, 2026 04:16 PM
White House Drops First Alien Files Today -- Market Says Only 17.5% -- Plus Hantavirus Cruise C	0	142	May 8th, 2026 04:02 PM
Iran's Answer Due Today: Peace Surges to 33.5%, Invasion Drops to 20.5% -- Warships Exchange Fi	0	162	May 8th, 2026 10:43 AM
14-Point MOU 'Closest Yet' as Trump Sets May 15 Deadline -- Oil's $40 Physical/Paper Gap [Updated]	1	204	May 7th, 2026 07:18 AM
The 50/50 Paradox: Peace and Invasion Each at 20% -- Iran's May 15 Binary Enters Final 8 Days	0	180	May 7th, 2026 07:13 AM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.