Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

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Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.

Page 5 of 8

	Replies	Views	Last Post
Iran Airspace Collapses 18 Points to 15.5% While Hormuz Stays Frozen at 2.45% -- Prediction Mar	0	159	May 5th, 2026 03:15 PM
Iran Airspace Contract Surges to 33.5% as 'Project Freedom' Delivers Zero Tankers Through Hormu	0	133	May 4th, 2026 03:16 PM
Hormuz Normalization Collapses to 19.5% -- Iran Regime Fall Doubles to 3% as World Cup Clock Ru	0	176	May 3rd, 2026 03:06 PM
The May 31 Binary: 60% Trump Declares Iran Ops Over, Only 22% for Peace Deal -- World Cup Kicko	0	174	May 1st, 2026 03:15 PM
$120M Resolves at Near-Zero: April 30 Was Never Close -- Now Markets Reprice Iran's Next Chapte	1	185	May 1st, 2026 07:14 AM
MegaETH Proves the Crowd Right: Prediction Markets Called the $1.6B FDV Bull's-Eye Before Launc	0	208	May 1st, 2026 07:10 AM
$241M Confirms Fed Hold as Powell May Chair His Final FOMC -- Iran Endgame Enters Final 24 Hour	8	594	April 29th, 2026 11:17 PM
The 'Two Popes' Scenario: Powell May Stay as Fed Governor After Warsh Vote -- $199M Positioned	1	207	April 28th, 2026 03:34 PM
Iran Rejects Hormuz Deal Without Nukes -- Brent 11, FOMC Starts, Warsh Vote Today [Updated]	1	119	April 28th, 2026 07:18 AM
Iran FM Flies to Moscow as Trump Cancels Envoys -- Peace Odds at 2.45% With 96 Hours to April 3	5	431	April 27th, 2026 11:07 AM
Powell in 48 Hours: Word Markets Give 78% on 'Inflation,' Fed Hold at 99.75% as Iran Peace Hits	0	167	April 26th, 2026 09:07 AM
A critical view at "Prediction Markets"	1	341	April 26th, 2026 12:54 AM
Probability Collapse: Bitcoin $150k Craters from 15% to 1.35% -- Fed Hold at 99.65% Four Days O	0	166	April 25th, 2026 03:13 PM
Powell's Last FOMC? DOJ Drops Probe, Warsh Confirmation Clears -- Iran Deal Odds Crater to 6.5%	4	303	April 25th, 2026 02:26 PM
CFTC Files First-Ever Insider Trading Case in Event Contracts -- Army Member Used Classified Op	4	387	April 24th, 2026 04:58 PM
Six Days to April 30: Tanker Seizures Confirmed at 99.95%, Peace Deal at 11.5%, Hormuz at 2.5%	2	165	April 24th, 2026 04:51 PM
Both Sides Seizing Ships: Iran Takes MSC Francesca, US Captures Tankers -- Trump No Rush, Brent $107 [Updated]	2	287	April 24th, 2026 07:17 AM
Ceasefire in Name Only: Three Numbers That Define the Iran Endgame	0	142	April 24th, 2026 07:15 AM
Kalshi Rockets to $22B, Passes Polymarket in Volume -- Bitcoin $150k by June Attracts $5.8M at	0	196	April 23rd, 2026 03:16 PM
Polymarket Launches Perpetual Futures With 10x Leverage on Stocks and Crypto -- Second CFTC-App	4	396	April 21st, 2026 11:55 PM

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Prediction Markets & Event Contracts

Discuss prediction markets, event contracts, and outcome-based trading. Covers CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood, CME Event Contracts, and Polymarket - from economic and political events to sports outcomes, weather, and crypto.